What move does the options market price into Riot Platforms's report?

Implied ±7.8%, either direction.

How often does Riot Platforms move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

RIOTNasdaqFinance Services

Riot Platforms, Inc. (RIOT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

12.83

Closed19:54 ET

Open12.99Volume25.7MMkt cap$4.8BEPS-3.82

Day12.09 – 13.0875%52-wk11.50 – 30.327%

RIOT

Riot Platforms, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±7.8%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±8.6%·×0.91·fair

11.8113.81

straddle ±15.8%

spot 12.81exp Nov 13ATM strike 13ATM straddle 2.38IV 118%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 8 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+4.33%

vs ±11.2% implied · ×0.39

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dAMD · customerAMD’s stock slides after Intel earnings reveal two big issues
1dCOIN · supplierHere are Friday's biggest analyst calls: Nvidia, SpaceX, Amazon, Intel, Rivian, Coinbase, Reddit, GE Vernova & more

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+8.36%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

460 managers

Top fund weight

4.86%

RIOT weight · BCOR

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Riot Platforms (RIOT) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.7%
avg realized: ±8.6%

Oct 30 '24Oct 30 '24confirmed±10.5%▼−11.83%×1.13

Feb 24 '25Feb 24 '25confirmed±10.5%▼−6.71%×0.64

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±7.4%▲+7.98%×1.08

Jul 31 '25Jul 31 '25confirmed±7.5%▼−17.75%×2.36

Q3 FY25Oct 30 '25confirmed±7.7%▼−6.21%×0.81

Q1 FY26Mar 2 '26confirmed±8.6%▼−6.94%×0.81

Apr 30 '26Apr 30 '26confirmed±6.3%▲+7.31%×1.17

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±11.2%▲+4.33%×0.39

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±11.2%▲+4.33%×0.39

Apr '26±6.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.08OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 13 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

17,451+5%Nov 65d0.6327,832+33%0.63

report · Nov 9 · after close · est.

3,750+3%Nov 1312d45,884+6%

33,2780%Nov 2019d0.33100,744+10%0.33

2,702+38%Nov 2726d0.942,880+18%0.94

4 later expiries

1,010—Dec 433d1.92525—1.92

152,1390%Dec 1847d0.86

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 65d17,451+5%27,832+33%0.63

report · Nov 9 · after close · est.

Nov 1312d3,750+3%45,884+6%0.08

Nov 2019d33,2780%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±15.8%

Funds 4

BCOR±0.8%

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Suppliers 1

COIN±8.6%×0.55

Customers 1

AMD±5.7%×0.36

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 499dMethod 1 more fund Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−136.12%as filednet margin · revenue +4.20% QoQ · +13.89% YoY

Revenue$174M+4.20%

Gross profit$41M23.67%+30.75%

Operating income−$239M−137.42%+52.10%

Pre-tax income−$237M+52.56%

Net income−$237M−136.12%+52.61%

Cost of revenue$133M−1.98%

Operating expenses$281M−47.18%

Tax−$105,000−136.08%

Other income$2M+780.44%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.09· ±4.6% vs ±4.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±4.6%4 of 10×1.09

GDPgross domestic product±4.5%7 of 19×1.06

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.0%7 of 19×0.95

FOMCrate decision±4.0%14 of 24×0.95

NFPjobs report±3.7%3 of 10×0.88

CPROFcorporate profits±3.4%5 of 12×0.80

CPIconsumer prices±2.5%6 of 10×0.59

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±4.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.68 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.68	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 2 '26 · confirmed	-1.44	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 30 '25 · confirmed	0.26	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod