What move does the options market price into Mineralys Therapeutics's report?

Implied ±13.0%, either direction.

How often does Mineralys Therapeutics move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MLYSNasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc. (MLYS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

15.73

−0.26 · −1.65%

Regular session10:31 ET

Open15.85Volume2.6MMkt cap$1.4BEPS-4.16

Day15.72 – 16.352%52-wk15.33 – 47.651%

MLYS

Mineralys Therapeutics, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±13.0%implied · straddle

13.9118.07

spot 15.99exp Nov 20ATM strike 15ATM straddle 2.45IV 87%

Nov 3 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 5 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.02%

vs ±9.5% implied · ×0.11

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 11 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+13.08%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

226 managers

Top fund weight

0.71%

MLYS weight · XBI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Mineralys Therapeutics (MLYS) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±18.8%
avg realized: ±4.3%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±28.0%▼−10.32%×0.37

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±53.7%▲+10.04%×0.19

May 12 '25May 12 '25confirmed±9.3%▲+1.20%×0.13

Aug 12 '25Aug 12 '25confirmed±13.2%▲+0.37%×0.03

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±11.0%▲+5.87%×0.53

Q1 FY26Mar 12 '26confirmed±10.5%▼−2.96%×0.28

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±15.2%▼−2.56%×0.17

Q2 FY26Aug 11 '26confirmed±9.5%▼−1.02%×0.11

quarterimplied−55%0+55%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.5%▼−1.02%×0.11

May '26±15.2%▼−2.56%×0.17

Q1 FY26±10.5%▼−2.96%×0.28

Q3 FY25±11.0%▲+5.87%×0.53

Aug '25±13.2%▲+0.37%×0.03

May '25±9.3%▲+1.20%×0.13

2 older reports

Feb '25±53.7%▲+10.04%×0.19

Nov '24±28.0%▼−10.32%×0.37

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.33OI · 5 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

614+43%Nov 2016d1,850+64%

178−38%Dec 1844d0.121,480+13%0.12

1,834−10%Jan 1572d0.1017,746−12%0.10

100%Mar 19135d0.06157+1%0.06

7+17%Apr 16163d0.002,084+79%0.00

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d614+43%1,850+64%0.33

Dec 1844d178−38%1,480+13%0.12

Jan 1572d1,834−10%17,746−12%0.10

Mar 19135d100%157+1%0.06

Apr 16163d7+17%2,084+79%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.0%

Funds 4

XBI±0.1%

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

No filed income statement.

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.05· ±3.3% vs ±3.1% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.3%9 of 24×1.05

CPROFcorporate profits±2.9%5 of 12×0.92

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.8%9 of 19×0.90

PPIproducer prices±2.8%5 of 10×0.88

GDPgross domestic product±2.7%9 of 19×0.86

NFPjobs report±1.6%5 of 10×0.52

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%0 of 10×0.44

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -2.85 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 11 '26 · confirmed	-2.85	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.47	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-0.52	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod