What move does the options market price into Kura Oncology's report?

Implied ±31.8%, either direction.

How often does Kura Oncology move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

KURANasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Kura Oncology, Inc. (KURA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

9.86

pre 10.05 +1.72%

Pre-market09:19 ETdelayed

Open9.88Volume1.2MMkt cap$870.9MEPS-3.37

Day9.88 – 10.05100%52-wk7.36 – 13.9041%

KURA

Kura Oncology, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±31.8%implied · straddle

6.7313.03

spot 9.88exp Nov 20ATM strike 10ATM straddle 3.70IV 220%

Nov 3 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

before open · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.51%

vs ±10.2% implied · ×0.15

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 12 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5dBMY · supplierBristol Myers Squibb posts Q3 net earnings $2,162 million, diluted EPS $1.05, revenue $13,069 million

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+9.67%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

220 managers

Top fund weight

0.32%

KURA weight · XBI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Kura Oncology (KURA) is expected to report on Nov 5 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±18.0%
avg realized: ±2.2%

Feb 26 '25Feb 26 '25confirmed±9.6%▼−1.54%×0.16

May 1 '25May 1 '25confirmed±8.2%▼−0.31%×0.04

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±38.8%▼−7.05%×0.18

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±19.4%▲+1.94%×0.10

Jan 12 '26Jan 12 '26confirmed±6.4%▼−2.55%×0.40

Q1 FY26Mar 5 '26confirmed±11.2%▼−0.47%×0.04

May 12 '26May 12 '26confirmed±40.6%▼−2.07%×0.05

Q2 FY26Aug 12 '26confirmed±10.2%▲+1.51%×0.15

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Q2 FY26±10.2%▲+1.51%×0.15

May '26±40.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.20OI · 4 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

8660%Nov 2016d4,344+3%

588−3%Dec 1844d1.38425+149%1.38

4,348−1%Jan 1572d1.243,494−1%1.24

2,328+2%Apr 16163d0.613,796+1%0.61

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d8660%4,344+3%0.20

Dec 1844d588−3%425+149%1.38

Jan 1572d4,348−1%3,494−1%1.24

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±31.8%

Funds 4

XBI±0.1%

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−327.33%as filednet margin · revenue +14.28% QoQ · +36.54% YoY

Revenue$21M+14.28%

Gross profit$21M98.84%+14.60%

Operating income−$73M−349.77%+7.37%

Pre-tax income−$68M+6.82%

Net income−$68M−327.33%+6.83%

Cost of revenue$243,000−7.25%

Operating expenses$94M−3.28%

Tax$5,000−37.50%

Other income$5M−14.61%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 09:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×0.87· ±2.4% vs ±2.7% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.4%6 of 19×0.87

CPROFcorporate profits±2.3%4 of 12×0.86

GDPgross domestic product±2.3%7 of 19×0.85

FOMCrate decision±2.3%8 of 24×0.85

PPIproducer prices±2.2%6 of 10×0.80

CPIconsumer prices±1.8%5 of 10×0.65

NFPjobs report±1.6%6 of 10×0.58

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.77 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.77	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.83	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	-0.85	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod