What move does the options market price into 4D Molecular Therapeutics's report?

Implied ±13.5%, either direction.

How often does 4D Molecular Therapeutics move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

FDMTNasdaqBiological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. (FDMT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

11.95

Closed16:00 ET

Open11.76Volume734,784Mkt cap$820.7MEPS-2.63

Day11.76 – 12.0371%52-wk6.96 – 16.9350%

FDMT

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±13.5%implied · straddle

10.3413.56

spot 11.95exp Nov 20ATM strike 12ATM straddle 1.90IV 92%

Nov 3 closethin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

before open · in 5 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+4.64%

vs ±30.9% implied · ×0.15

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 13 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dQURE · customeruniQure receives FDA acceptance and priority review of BLA; PDUFA May 1, 2027

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.81%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

158 managers

Top fund weight

0.20%

FDMT weight · XBI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

4D Molecular Therapeutics (FDMT) is expected to report on Nov 9 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±40.5%
avg realized: ±4.8%

Feb 28 '25Feb 28 '25confirmed±71.1%▼−8.61%×0.12

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±42.3%▼−4.94%×0.12

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed±76.3%▼−1.78%×0.02

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±11.6%▼−3.14%×0.27

Jan 7 '26Jan 7 '26confirmed±18.7%▲+8.07%×0.43

Q1 FY26Mar 18 '26confirmed±38.6%▲+4.91%×0.13

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±34.6%▲+2.11%×0.06

Q2 FY26Aug 13 '26confirmed±30.9%▲+4.64%×0.15

quarterimplied−80%0+80%realized×

Q2 FY26±30.9%▲+4.64%×0.15

May '26±34.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.11OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

4+300%Nov 2016d37+3%

1—Dec 1844d0.254—0.25

250%Jan 1572d0.011,786+1%0.01

20%Apr 16163d0.02117+2%0.02

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d4+300%37+3%0.11

Dec 1844d1—4—0.25

Jan 1572d250%1,786+1%0.01

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.5%

Funds 4

XBI±0.0%

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−1929.01%as filednet margin · revenue +24.09% QoQ · +25106.67% YoY

Revenue$4M+24.09%

Gross profit$4M100.00%+24.09%

Operating income−$77M−2037.16%−4.63%

Pre-tax income−$73M−6.07%

Net income−$73M−1929.01%−6.07%

Cost of revenue$0—

Operating expenses$81M+5.40%

Other income$4M−15.86%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×0.90· ±3.5% vs ±3.8% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.5%7 of 10×0.90

FOMCrate decision±3.5%13 of 24×0.90

GDPgross domestic product±3.4%8 of 19×0.88

CPIconsumer prices±3.4%3 of 10×0.88

CPROFcorporate profits±2.9%3 of 12×0.75

PPIproducer prices±2.6%3 of 10×0.68

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.1%8 of 19×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -1.04 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 13 '26 · confirmed	-1.04	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 18 '26 · confirmed	-1.01	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-1.01	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod