What move does the options market price into Trump Media & Technology's report?

Implied ±7.8%, either direction.

DJTNasdaqServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp. (DJT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

5.95

pre 5.55 −6.72%

Pre-market06:35 ETdelayed

Open5.56Volume4.4MMkt cap$1.7BEPS-4.91

Day5.47 – 5.5780%52-wk5.40 – 17.091%

DJT

Trump Media & Technology Group Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±7.8%implied · report alone

5.486.42

straddle ±9.6%

spot 5.95exp Nov 6ATM strike 6ATM straddle 0.67IV 156%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 6

before open · in 2 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.11%

vs ±8.2% implied · ×0.62

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.78%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

333 managers

Top fund weight

3.93%

DJT weight · BCOR

N-PORTJun 30 '26

5 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Trump Media & Technology (DJT) is expected to report on Nov 6 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±8.2%▼−5.11%×0.62

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.2%▼−5.11%×0.62

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.34OI · 7 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,464+57%Nov 62d7,202+40%

2,522+96%Nov 139d0.992,537+32%0.99

39,147+1%Nov 2016d0.4292,346+1%0.42

1,048+96%Nov 2723d0.541,928+66%0.54

13,262+6%Dec 1844d0.3934,0130%0.39

2 later expiries

103,116+1%Jan 1572d0.98105,219+1%0.98

5,021+4%Mar 19135d0.43

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 62d2,464+57%7,202+40%0.34

Nov 139d2,522+96%2,537+32%0.99

Nov 2016d39,147+1%92,346+1%0.42

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.6%

Funds 4

BCOR±0.4%

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod 1 more fund Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−14260.71%as filednet margin · revenue +91.66% QoQ · +89.03% YoY

Revenue$2M+91.66%

Gross profit$1M70.06%+285.74%

Operating income−$164M−9792.42%+44.29%

Pre-tax income−$238M+41.35%

Net income−$238M−14260.71%+41.34%

Cost of revenue$499,900−66.70%

Operating expenses$163M+234.11%

Tax$98,900+0.10%

Other expense−$76M+78.59%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 06:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.62· ±6.6% vs ±4.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±6.6%6 of 10×1.62

FOMCrate decision±4.1%9 of 24×1.00

NFPjobs report±3.6%5 of 10×0.88

PPIproducer prices±3.4%6 of 10×0.83

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.4%8 of 19×0.60

CPROFcorporate profits±2.4%5 of 12×0.59

GDPgross domestic product±2.3%6 of 19×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±4.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.86 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.86	—
Q1 FY26	—	-1.47	—
Q3 FY25	—	-0.20	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod