What move does the options market price into Cytokinetics's report?

Implied ±6.7%, either direction.

How often does Cytokinetics move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CYTKNasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Cytokinetics Inc (CYTK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

62.06

pre 62.06 −1.47%

Pre-market16:00 ETdelayed

Open62.85Volume1.3MMkt cap$8.8BEPS-7.23

Day62.06 – 63.100%52-wk58.05 – 88.3113%

CYTK

Cytokinetics Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±6.7%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±4.1%·×1.61·rich

57.8966.17

straddle ±9.1%

spot 62.03exp Nov 20ATM strike 62.5ATM straddle 6.62IV 60%

Nov 2 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.67%

vs ±7.7% implied · ×0.73

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dSNY · customerSanofi Q3 sales €14,444 million, business EPS €3.55; upgrades 2026 guidance
5dAMGN · customerAMGEN ANNOUNCES WEBCAST OF 2026 THIRD QUARTER FINANCIAL RESULTS

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.24%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

487 managers

Top fund weight

1.18%

CYTK weight · XBI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

6 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Cytokinetics (CYTK) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.2%
avg realized: ±4.1%

Aug 8 '24Aug 8 '24confirmed±14.7%▲+3.31%×0.23

Feb 27 '25Feb 27 '25confirmed±13.7%▼−3.06%×0.22

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±10.0%▼−2.74%×0.27

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±6.1%▼−3.23%×0.53

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±8.9%▲+1.88%×0.21

Feb 24 '26Feb 24 '26confirmed±10.0%▼−10.29%×1.03

Q1 FY26May 5 '26confirmed±10.5%▼−2.92%×0.28

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±7.7%▼−5.67%×0.73

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±7.7%▼−5.67%×0.73

Q1 FY26±10.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.32OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,8490%Nov 2017d8,9600%

4330%Dec 1845d0.93465+6%0.93

3,9490%Jan 1573d0.0941,662+1%0.09

320%Feb 19108d0.103250%0.10

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d2,8490%8,9600%0.32

Dec 1845d4330%465+6%0.93

Jan 1573d3,9490%41,662+1%0.09

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.1%

Funds 4

XBI±0.1%

IWM±0.0%

MDY±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−694.39%as filednet margin · revenue +47.89% QoQ · −57.13% YoY

Revenue$29M+47.89%

Gross profit$23M80.46%+37.07%

Operating income−$179M−625.95%+2.42%

Pre-tax income−$213M+2.00%

Net income−$199M−694.39%+3.53%

Cost of revenue$6M+119.12%

Operating expenses$202M+0.89%

Other expense−$34M−0.29%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 2 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×0.97· ±2.3% vs ±2.4% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.3%11 of 19×0.97

NFPjobs report±2.1%3 of 10×0.86

GDPgross domestic product±2.0%13 of 19×0.84

PPIproducer prices±1.8%5 of 10×0.74

CPROFcorporate profits±1.8%5 of 12×0.74

FOMCrate decision±1.6%13 of 24×0.67

CPIconsumer prices±1.3%5 of 10×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -1.50 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-1.50	—
Q1 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	-1.67	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	-2.55	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod