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BBAI

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc.
3.15post+$0.00 (+0.00%)at close +$0.00 (+0.00%)
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as of 08:25:59 UTCnext report Nov 10 · 97d
Earnings Room‹ back to BBAI

The report

fiscal Q3 2026 · from the company's notice
Nov 10after close97days out

Expected movement

market-implied · at the Aug 4 close
±37.5%is what the chain prices between now and the expiry below. Not a view we hold.

That span is 136days, so it covers the report plus the ordinary movement around it. The chain doesn't yet quote a second expiry we can separate the two with; the range narrows onto the report as it approaches.

expiry Dec 18 · first after the reportATM strike 3straddle 1.39ATM IV 94%× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 3.15

Blast radius

2 linked · N-PORT + EDGAR

If BBAI moves ±37.5% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are ranked by disclosed tie strength.

Positioning

Butterfly Ladder

No options positioning captured for this ticker yet. Open interest settles once daily — check back after the next capture, or open this room again tomorrow.

The record

expected in pale · actual in full color
2/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±9.0% realized vs ±13.5% priced
Jul 30 '26±10.4%1.4%×0.14
May 5 '26±13.0%+5.6%×0.43
Mar 2 '26±13.4%7.3%×0.55
Nov 10 '25±12.5%+6.1%×0.49
Aug 11 '25±17.4%15.8%×0.91
May 1 '25±14.7%+0.6%×0.04
Mar 18 '25±10.9%14.9%×1.36
Mar 6 '25±16.0%20.5%×1.28
pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied
2-quarter memory
Q2 FY26 · reported -0.05 · rev $37M
record note

The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.