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BBAI as of Nov 2 · 15:37 ET
BBAINYSEServices-Prepackaged Software

BigBear.ai Holdings, Inc. · Brief

Next report

128 days

Mar 10 · after closeest.Q4 FY26
Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory
1 of 8≥ implied
avg implied
±13.1%
avg realized
±7.0%
Mar 18 '25±10.9%▼−14.90%×1.36
May 1 '25±14.7%▲+0.60%×0.04
Aug 11 '25±17.4%▼−15.80%×0.91
Nov 10 '25±12.5%▲+6.13%×0.49
Q1 FY26±13.4%▼−7.32%×0.55
May 5 '26±13.0%▲+5.56%×0.43
Q2 FY26±10.4%▼−1.41%×0.14
Q3 FY26±12.8%▲+4.68%×0.36
quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×
Q3 FY26±12.8%▲+4.68%×0.36
Q2 FY26±10.4%▼−1.41%×0.14
May '26±13.0%▲+5.56%×0.43
Q1 FY26±13.4%▼−7.32%×0.55
Nov '25±12.5%▲+6.13%×0.49
Aug '25±17.4%▼−15.80%×0.91
2 older reports
May '25±14.7%▲+0.60%×0.04
Mar '25±10.9%▼−14.90%×1.36
Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Mar 10 report · est.

Bull2

3tracked funds holding BBAIN-PORT · Aug 31 '26
326managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

8 of 24largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26
7 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history
AI captions · Nov 2 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

BBAI report session

No linked exposure.

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes
Oct 27impliedImplied move: ±12.8% into Oct 27 earnings (Oct 27 close).Source
Oct 26impliedImplied move: ±11.6% into Nov 9 earnings (Oct 26 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.