What move does the options market price into Unusual Machines's report?

Implied ±4.8%, either direction.

UMACNYSERadio & Tv Broadcasting & Communications Equipment

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

15.50

−1.78 · −10.28%

post 15.53 +0.17%

Closed19:53 ET

Open16.90Volume3.1MMkt cap$775.8MEPS-0.15

Day14.92 – 16.9031%52-wk7.25 – 34.9330%

UMAC

Unusual Machines, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±4.8%implied · report alone

14.7816.28

straddle ±12.0%

spot 15.53exp Nov 6ATM strike 15.5ATM straddle 2.20IV 128%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 5 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.83%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

+49.35%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

187 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

UMAC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Unusual Machines (UMAC) is expected to report on Nov 5 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

1 report

—≥ implied

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed—▼−5.83%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26—▼−5.83%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 7 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.76OI · 7 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,189+2%Nov 66d1,564+52%

748−3%Nov 1313d0.481,573+27%0.48

12,935+3%Nov 2020d0.7616,969+3%0.76

849+42350%Nov 2727d0.98862+28633%0.98

964+136%Dec 1848d1.69570+94%1.69

2 later expiries

7,276+1%Jan 1576d0.4516,276+3%0.45

5,0640%Feb 19111d0.89

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 66d1,189+2%1,564+52%0.76

Nov 1313d748−3%1,573+27%0.48

Nov 2020d12,935+3%16,969+3%0.76

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±12.0%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−46.55%as filednet margin · revenue +106.56% QoQ · +687.32% YoY

Revenue$17M+106.56%

Gross profit$6M34.70%+118.61%

Operating income−$8M−46.85%−7.92%

Pre-tax income−$8M−175.69%

Net income−$8M−46.55%−175.69%

Cost of revenue$11M+100.68%

Operating expenses$14M+37.56%

Other income$50,590−99.71%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.37· ±9.1% vs ±6.6% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±9.1%9 of 19×1.37

CPROFcorporate profits±8.5%5 of 12×1.28

PCEpersonal income & outlays±7.6%6 of 19×1.15

FOMCrate decision±6.2%5 of 21×0.94

NFPjobs report±5.7%4 of 10×0.86

CPIconsumer prices±5.3%7 of 11×0.80

PPIproducer prices±4.4%5 of 11×0.66

Bar = avg |move| to ±10% · tick = ±6.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±6.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.16 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.16	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.21	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod