ULTA

Ulta Beauty, Inc.

543.86^post+$0.00 (+0.00%)at close +$0.00 (+0.00%)

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as of 20:22:13 UTCnext report Aug 27 · 22d

Earnings Room‹ back to ULTA

The report

fiscal Q2 2026 · from the company's notice

Aug 27after close22days out

Expected movement

market-implied · at the Aug 4 close

±9.2%is what the chain prices between now and the expiry below. Not a view we hold.

That span is 24days, so it covers the report plus the ordinary movement around it. The chain doesn't yet quote a second expiry we can separate the two with; the range narrows onto the report as it approaches.

expiry Aug 28 · first after the reportATM strike 545straddle 59.05ATM IV 53%× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 543.86

Blast radius

8 linked · N-PORT + EDGAR

If ULTA moves ±9.2% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are named by filings and their coefficient measured against two years of daily returns.

XLYfundState Street Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR ETF0.58% of the fund0.05%RSPfundInvesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF0.16% of the fund0.01%VTVfundVanguard Value Index Fund0.10% of the fund0.01%VOOfundVanguard 500 Index Fund0.04% of the fund0.00%IVVfundiShares Core S&P 500 ETF0.04% of the fund0.00%SPYfundSPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust0.04% of the fund0.00%ELsupplierEstée Lauder Companies×0.40 · 500 days3.7%TGTcustomerTarget Corporation×0.33 · 500 days3.0%

Positioning

Butterfly Ladder

No options positioning captured for this ticker yet. Open interest settles once daily — check back after the next capture, or open this room again tomorrow.

The record

expected in pale · actual in full color

6/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±9.7% realized vs ±6.6% priced

Jun 2 '26±9.4%→−4.8%×0.51

Mar 12 '26±6.4%→−14.2%×2.24

Dec 4 '25±6.1%→+12.7%×2.06

Aug 28 '25±5.8%→−7.1%×1.23

May 29 '25±6.2%→+11.8%×1.89

Mar 13 '25±6.4%→+13.7%×2.15

Dec 5 '24±6.5%→+9.0%×1.39

Aug 29 '24±6.1%→−4.0%×0.66

pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied

2-quarter memory

Q1 FY26 · reported 7.74 · rev $3.2B

record note

The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.