ULTA as of Nov 1 · 15:27 ET

ULTANasdaqRetail-Retail Stores, NEC

Ulta Beauty, Inc. · Brief

Next report

32 days

Dec 3 · after closeest.Q3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±6.7%implied · report alone

597.59683.27

straddle ±9.3%

spot 640.43exp Dec 4ATM strike 640ATM straddle 70.15IV 44%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

6 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.7%
avg realized: ±9.7%

Dec 5 '24±6.5%▲+8.99%×1.39

Mar 13 '25±6.4%▲+13.68%×2.15

May 29 '25±6.2%▲+11.78%×1.89

Aug 28 '25±5.8%▼−7.14%×1.23

Q3 FY25±6.1%▲+12.65%×2.06

Mar 12 '26±6.4%▼−14.24%×2.24

Q1 FY26±9.4%▼−4.78%×0.51

Q2 FY26±6.9%▼−4.18%×0.61

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.9%▼−4.18%×0.61

Q1 FY26±9.4%▼−4.78%×0.51

Mar '26±6.4%▼−14.24%×2.24

Q3 FY25±6.1%▲+12.65%×2.06

Aug '25±5.8%▼−7.14%×1.23

May '25±6.2%▲+11.78%×1.89

2 older reports

Mar '25±6.4%▲+13.68%×2.15

Dec '24±6.5%▲+8.99%×1.39

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Dec 3 report · est.

Bull2 of 4

1,025managers reporting a position in institutional filings13F · Jun 30 '26

+5.09%change in shares held by the largest reporting managers13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2 of 3

2 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options implied rangeEarnings history

9 of 21of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

AI captions · Sep 16 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

ULTA report session

Suppliers 1

ELEstée Lauder Companies×0.41

Customers 1

TGTTarget×0.31

× = co-movement · max 499dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

No changes.

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.