What move does the options market price into Tonix Pharmaceuticals's report?

Implied ±18.8%, either direction.

How often does Tonix Pharmaceuticals move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 4 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

TNXPNasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp. (TNXP) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

5.20

+0.05 · +1.04%

post 5.17 −0.65%

Closed19:27 ET

Open5.24Volume488,216Mkt cap$89.0M

Day5.17 – 5.300%52-wk4.96 – 20.561%

TNXP

Tonix Pharmaceuticals Holding Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±18.8%implied · straddle

4.216.17

spot 5.19exp Nov 20ATM strike 5ATM straddle 1.15IV 130%

Nov 3 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 6 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+4.66%

vs ±13.0% implied · ×0.36

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+85.31%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

103 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

TNXP weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Tonix Pharmaceuticals (TNXP) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 4≥ implied

avg implied: ±15.6%
avg realized: ±4.0%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed—▲+3.35%—

Mar 18 '25Mar 18 '25confirmed—▼−19.78%—

May 12 '25May 12 '25confirmed—▲+5.16%—

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed—▲+32.89%—

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±21.1%▲+4.10%×0.19

Q1 FY26Mar 13 '26confirmed±14.0%▼−1.27%×0.09

May 11 '26May 11 '26confirmed±14.3%▼−5.88%×0.41

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±13.0%▲+4.66%×0.36

quarterimplied−35%0+35%realized×

Q2 FY26±13.0%▲+4.66%×0.36

May '26±14.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.35OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

150−3%Nov 2017d434+116%

115−1%Dec 1845d0.22529+5%0.22

215+2%Mar 19136d0.37577+9%0.37

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d150−3%434+116%0.35

Dec 1845d115−1%529+5%0.22

Mar 19136d215+2%577+9%0.37

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±18.8%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−299.41%as filednet margin · revenue +96.92% QoQ · +577.88% YoY

Revenue$14M+96.92%

Gross profit$13M94.81%+142.28%

Operating income−$43M−314.05%−2.40%

Pre-tax income−$41M−2.38%

Net income−$41M−299.41%−0.89%

Cost of revenue$703,000−55.45%

Operating expenses$55M+18.23%

Tax−$600,000—

Other income$1M+2.98%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 19:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.26· ±6.7% vs ±5.3% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±6.7%10 of 24×1.26

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.8%9 of 19×0.91

GDPgross domestic product±4.8%8 of 19×0.91

PPIproducer prices±4.5%5 of 10×0.86

CPROFcorporate profits±3.6%5 of 12×0.68

CPIconsumer prices±3.0%2 of 10×0.56

NFPjobs report±2.5%3 of 10×0.48

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±5.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±5.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -2.44 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-2.44	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 13 '26 · confirmed	-2.93	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-3.59	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod