What move does the options market price into StubHub's report?

Implied ±8.5%, either direction.

STUBNYSEServices

StubHub Holdings, Inc. (STUB) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

5.78

−0.04 · −0.69%

post 5.78 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open5.67Volume7.6MMkt cap$2.2B

Day5.64 – 5.8665%52-wk5.22 – 19.874%

STUB

StubHub Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.5%implied · report alone

5.296.27

straddle ±13.6%

spot 5.78exp Nov 13ATM strike 6ATM straddle 0.92IV 99%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

after close · in 13 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

—

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−5.71%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

200 managers

Top fund weight

0.09%

STUB weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

StubHub (STUB) is expected to report on Nov 12 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

No reported quarters.

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Oct 22 close

0.50OI · 8 expiries · Oct 22 closeP/C open interest · Nov 13 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

83+337%Nov 67d0.21388+18%0.21

report · Nov 12 · after close · est.

162+548%Nov 1314d325+144%

8,217—Nov 2021d1.774,655—1.77

59—Nov 2728d0.26227+46%0.26

4 later expiries

0—Dec 435d—0——

6,5100%Dec 1849d0.81

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 67d83+337%388+18%0.21

report · Nov 12 · after close · est.

Nov 1314d162+548%325+144%0.50

Nov 2021d8,217—

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.6%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

2.55%as filednet margin · revenue +28.48% QoQ · +33.18% YoY

Revenue

$573M+28.48% QoQ

Gross profit

$468M+23.21% QoQ

81.75% margin

Operating income

$19M−24.67% QoQ

3.40% margin

Pre-tax income

$12M−72.95% QoQ

Net income

$15M−69.60% QoQ

2.55% margin

Cost of revenue

$105M+58.92% QoQ

Operating expenses

$449M+26.70% QoQ

Marketing $274M

SG&A $165M

Depreciation $10M

Other expense

$15M

Tax benefit

$2M

Revenue$573M+28.48%

Gross profit

$468M+23.21%

81.75% margin

Operating income

$19M−24.67%

3.40% margin

Pre-tax income

$12M−72.95%

Net income

$15M−69.60%

2.55% margin

Cost of revenue

$105M+58.92%

Operating expenses

$449M+26.70%

Marketing $274M

SG&A $165M

Depreciation $10M

Other expense

$15M

Tax benefit$2M

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.17· ±4.2% vs ±3.6% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±4.2%6 of 11×1.17

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.7%7 of 12×1.03

CPIconsumer prices±3.4%7 of 11×0.96

GDPgross domestic product±3.1%8 of 12×0.88

NFPjobs report±3.0%3 of 10×0.85

CPROFcorporate profits±2.7%6 of 8×0.77

FOMCrate decision±2.3%4 of 9×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	—	0.00	—
Q1 FY26	—	0.06	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod