SOC
Sable Offshore Corp.4.56post+$0.08 (+1.79%)at close +$0.00 (+0.00%)
as of 08:26:05 UTCnext report Aug 14 · 9d
Earnings Room‹ back to SOC
The report
fiscal Q2 2026 · from the company's noticeAug 14before open9days out
Expected movement
market-implied · at the Aug 4 close±18.2%is what the chain prices for this report itself, with the ordinary drift of the days around it taken out. Not a view we hold.
The full straddle prices ±20.8% over the 10 days to expiry; the rest of that is everyday movement, which the chain prices at 91% annualized.
expiry Aug 14 · first after the reportATM strike 4.5straddle 1.11ATM IV 189% vs 156% at Aug 21× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 4.56
Blast radius
2 linked · N-PORT + EDGARIf SOC moves ±20.8% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are ranked by disclosed tie strength.
Positioning
Butterfly LadderNo options positioning captured for this ticker yet. Open interest settles once daily — check back after the next capture, or open this room again tomorrow.
The record
expected in pale · actual in full color3/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±8.7% realized vs ±10.0% priced
May 6 '26±7.8%→−4.3%×0.55
Feb 27 '26±15.3%→+4.2%×0.28
Nov 13 '25±12.9%→−28.9%×2.23
Aug 12 '25±7.6%→−2.1%×0.27
May 9 '25±14.0%→+14.9%×1.06
Mar 17 '25±8.1%→+0.9%×0.12
Nov 14 '24±8.8%→−8.2%×0.93
Aug 13 '24±5.2%→+6.3%×1.20
pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied
2-quarter memory
Q1 FY26 · reported -1.37 · rev $1M
record note
The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.