What move does the options market price into StoneX's report?

Implied ±10.3%, either direction.

How often does StoneX move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SNEXNasdaqSecurity & Commodity Brokers, Dealers, Exchanges & Services

StoneX Group Inc. (SNEX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

56.68

+0.38 · +0.68%

Regular session12:10 ET

Open56.87Volume1.1MMkt cap$6.8BP/E12.46EPS4.55

Day56.38 – 57.2933%52-wk36.45 – 94.6635%

SNEX

StoneX Group Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.3%implied · straddle

50.5062.10

spot 56.30exp Dec 18ATM strike 56.67ATM straddle 6.83IV 22%

Nov 3 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 23

after close · in 19 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−12.23%

vs ±16.6% implied · ×0.74

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.93%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

472 managers

Top fund weight

0.27%

SNEX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

StoneX (SNEX) is expected to report on Nov 23 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.2%
avg realized: ±9.0%

Nov 19 '24Nov 19 '24confirmed±8.2%▲+6.24%×0.76

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±6.8%▲+8.03%×1.19

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±8.3%▼−6.73%×0.81

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±8.3%▼−15.49%×1.86

Nov 24 '25Nov 24 '25confirmed±7.5%▲+6.10%×0.81

Feb 4 '26Feb 4 '26confirmed±8.1%▼−3.25%×0.40

Q2 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±9.9%▲+13.64%×1.38

Q3 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±16.6%▼−12.23%×0.74

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±16.6%▼−12.23%×0.74

Q2 FY26±9.9%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.69OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1170%Nov 2016d0.40296−1%0.40

report · Nov 23 · after close · est.

232+1%Dec 1844d3360%

1390%Jan 1572d0.16886−4%0.16

300%Apr 16163d0.3781+4%0.37

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1170%296−1%0.40

report · Nov 23 · after close · est.

Dec 1844d232+1%3360%0.69

Jan 1572d1390%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.3%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

0.32%as filednet margin · revenue −12.39% QoQ · +15.02% YoY

Revenue$39.4B−12.39%

Pre-tax income$160M−29.63%

Net income$128M0.32%−26.62%

Tax$32M−39.58%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.32· ±2.2% vs ±1.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±2.2%5 of 10×1.32

NFPjobs report±1.9%6 of 10×1.14

CPIconsumer prices±1.9%6 of 10×1.11

FOMCrate decision±1.8%15 of 24×1.08

GDPgross domestic product±1.8%11 of 19×1.05

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%11 of 19×0.95

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%7 of 12×0.72

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	1.00	—
Q2 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	2.07	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod