What move does the options market price into Stitch Fix's report?

Implied ±23.6%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Stitch Fix move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SFIXNasdaqRetail-Catalog & Mail-Order Houses

Stitch Fix, Inc. (SFIX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

2.69

Closed16:00 ET

Open2.77Volume2.9MMkt cap$360.7MEPS-0.18

Day2.64 – 2.7737%52-wk2.10 – 5.7516%

SFIX

Stitch Fix, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±23.6%implied · straddle

2.063.34

spot 2.70exp Dec 18ATM strike 2.5ATM straddle 0.75IV 97%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Dec 3

after close · in 31 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−21.63%

vs ±18.8% implied · ×1.15

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Sep 23 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5dPYPL · supplierPayPal posts net income of $1,073 million, revenue $8,584 million for 3Q 2026
39dAFRM · supplierConsumer Lending Stocks Slide While Financials Barely Budge: Upstart and Affirm Drop 4%, SoFi Eases

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.74%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

187 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

SFIX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Stitch Fix (SFIX) is expected to report on Dec 3 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±20.0%
avg realized: ±15.8%

Dec 10 '24Dec 10 '24confirmed±20.0%▲+44.35%×2.22

Mar 11 '25Mar 11 '25confirmed±19.6%▼−5.44%×0.28

Jun 10 '25Jun 10 '25confirmed±18.8%▼−10.54%×0.56

Sep 24 '25Sep 24 '25confirmed±15.0%▼−16.49%×1.10

Dec 4 '25Dec 4 '25confirmed±13.3%▲+9.17%×0.69

Q2 FY26Mar 11 '26confirmed±25.8%▼−2.37%×0.09

Q3 FY26Jun 10 '26confirmed±28.3%▲+16.67%×0.59

Q4 FY26Sep 23 '26confirmed±18.8%▼−21.63%×1.15

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Q4 FY26±18.8%▼−21.63%×1.15

Q3 FY26±28.3%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.13OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

485−7%Nov 2018d1.47329+9%1.47

report · Dec 3 · after close · est.

4670%Dec 1846d4120%

5,7800%Jan 1574d0.5111,2620%0.51

4510%Mar 19137d1.004500%1.00

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2018d485−7%329+9%1.47

report · Dec 3 · after close · est.

Dec 1846d4670%4120%1.13

Jan 1574d5,7800%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±23.6%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Suppliers 1

PYPL±3.8%×0.16

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

−0.64%derived from FYnet margin · revenue −4.66% QoQ · +4.24% YoY

Revenue$324M−4.66%

Gross profit$141M43.58%−5.01%

Operating income−$4M−1.35%−8.69%

Pre-tax income−$2M−32.03%

Net income−$2M−0.64%−35.41%

Cost of revenue$183M−4.39%

Operating expenses$146M−4.65%

Tax$144,000+105.71%

Other income$2M−4.57%

Derived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Aug 1 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.18· ±4.1% vs ±3.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±4.1%4 of 10×1.18

FOMCrate decision±3.2%10 of 24×0.93

CPROFcorporate profits±3.1%5 of 12×0.90

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.6%6 of 19×0.76

GDPgross domestic product±2.6%6 of 19×0.75

NFPjobs report±2.2%2 of 10×0.63

CPIconsumer prices±2.1%4 of 10×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.02 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Sep 23 '26 · confirmed	-0.02	—
Q3 FY26	Jun 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.02	—
Q2 FY26	Mar 11 '26 · confirmed	-0.04	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod