What move does the options market price into Sonic Automotive's report?

Implied ±17.1%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Sonic Automotive move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SAHNYSERetail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations

Sonic Automotive Inc (SAH) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

63.44

+0.21 · +0.33%

post 63.44 0.00%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open63.61Volume413,047Mkt cap$2.2BP/E9.67Div yield2.50%

Day62.71 – 63.6181%52-wk53.22 – 113.0617%

SAH

Sonic Automotive Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±17.1%implied · straddle

52.3974.07

spot 63.23exp Feb 19ATM strike 65ATM straddle 12.75IV 45%

Oct 30 closeprovisionalthin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 17

before open · in 107 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+0.78%

vs ±10.2% implied · ×0.08

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4dGM · supplierGeneral Motors chief accounting officer Christopher T. Hatto to retire April 1, 2027

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.96%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

237 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

SAH weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Sonic Automotive (SAH) is expected to report on Feb 17 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.0%
avg realized: ±6.8%

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±5.9%▼−3.97%×0.68

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±9.0%▲+1.85%×0.21

Q2 FY25Jul 24 '25confirmed±7.6%▼−5.65%×0.74

Q3 FY25Oct 23 '25confirmed±8.6%▼−15.88%×1.85

Q4 FY25Feb 18 '26confirmed±5.7%▲+7.91%×1.38

Apr 30 '26Apr 30 '26confirmed±7.4%▲+7.42%×1.00

Jul 30 '26Jul 30 '26confirmed±10.0%▼−10.94%×1.09

Oct 29 '26Oct 29 '26confirmed±10.2%▲+0.78%×0.08

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Oct '26±10.2%▲+0.78%×0.08

Jul '26±10.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.32OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3570%

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±17.1%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY25

0.62%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +89.45% QoQ · +93.25% YoY

Revenue

$7.5B+89.45% QoQ

Gross profit

$599M−2.71% QoQ

7.95% margin

Operating income

$123M+0.33% QoQ

1.64% margin

Pre-tax income

$73M+2.95% QoQ

Net income

$47M+0.21% QoQ

0.62% margin

Cost of revenue

$6.3B+88.41% QoQ

Operating expenses

$823M+67.07% QoQ

SG&A $434M

Depreciation $42M

Other operating $348M

Other expense

$50M

Tax benefit

$82M

Revenue$7.5B+89.45%

Gross profit

$599M−2.71%

7.95% margin

Operating income

$123M+0.33%

1.64% margin

Pre-tax income

$73M+2.95%

Net income

$47M+0.21%

0.62% margin

Cost of revenue

$6.3B+88.41%

Operating expenses

$823M+67.07%

SG&A $434M

Depreciation $42M

Other operating $348M

Other expense

$50M

Tax benefit$82M

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Dec 31 '25 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.34· ±2.5% vs ±1.8% · 20 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±2.5%8 of 20×1.34

FOMCrate decision±2.5%13 of 24×1.33

PPIproducer prices±2.0%6 of 11×1.07

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%10 of 20×1.04

CPROFcorporate profits±1.9%5 of 12×1.01

NFPjobs report±1.6%5 of 10×0.86

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%4 of 11×0.73

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.39 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY25	Feb 18 '26 · confirmed	1.39	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 23 '25 · confirmed	1.33	—
Q2 FY25	Jul 24 '25 · confirmed	-1.34	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod