What move does the options market price into Remitly Global's report?

Implied ±11.8%, either direction.

How often does Remitly Global move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

RELYNasdaqServices-Business Services, NEC

Remitly Global, Inc. (RELY) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

25.58

+0.24 · +0.96%

Regular session13:28 ET

Open25.40Volume3.0MMkt cap$5.4BP/E17.64EPS1.45

Day25.29 – 25.7859%52-wk12.08 – 27.4888%

RELY

Remitly Global, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±11.8%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±13.8%·×0.85·cheap

22.3528.32

straddle ±13.0%

spot 25.34exp Nov 20ATM strike 25ATM straddle 3.87IV 88%

Nov 2 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+7.73%

vs ±12.7% implied · ×0.61

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+31.17%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

354 managers

Top fund weight

0.11%

RELY weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Remitly Global (RELY) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±13.9%
avg realized: ±13.8%

Oct 30 '24Oct 30 '24confirmed±14.4%▲+17.82%×1.24

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±12.4%▼−0.46%×0.04

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±13.3%▲+14.56%×1.10

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±17.4%▲+15.06%×0.87

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±14.0%▼−25.12%×1.79

Feb 18 '26Feb 18 '26confirmed±15.0%▲+25.94%×1.73

Q1 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±12.2%▼−3.96%×0.32

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±12.7%▲+7.73%×0.61

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26±12.7%▲+7.73%×0.61

Q1 FY26±12.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 23 close

0.33OI · 4 expiries · Oct 23 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

639+28%Nov 2017d1,916+255%

6730%Dec 1845d0.106,6570%0.10

1,559−1%Jan 1573d0.334,692−4%0.33

90+1%Apr 16164d0.033,356+28%0.03

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d639+28%1,916+255%0.33

Dec 1845d6730%6,6570%0.10

Jan 1573d1,559−1%4,692−4%0.33

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.0%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

41.58%as filednet margin · revenue +9.35% QoQ · +20.23% YoY

Revenue

$495M+9.35% QoQ

Gross profit

$307M+9.35% QoQ

62.07% margin

Operating income

$67M+24.08% QoQ

13.47% margin

Pre-tax income

$65M+24.14% QoQ

Net income

$206M+319.77% QoQ

41.58% margin

Cost of revenue

$188M+9.35% QoQ

Operating expenses

$241M+5.87% QoQ

Marketing $104M

R&D $74M

SG&A $56M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$2M

Tax benefit

$141M

Revenue$495M+9.35%

Gross profit

$307M+9.35%

62.07% margin

Operating income

$67M+24.08%

13.47% margin

Pre-tax income

$65M+24.14%

Net income

$206M+319.77%

41.58% margin

Cost of revenue

$188M+9.35%

Operating expenses

$241M+5.87%

Marketing $104M

R&D $74M

SG&A $56M

Other expense

$2M

Tax benefit$141M

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 2 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 13:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.65· ±3.4% vs ±2.0% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.4%5 of 10×1.65

NFPjobs report±3.2%4 of 10×1.57

FOMCrate decision±1.7%13 of 24×0.83

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%4 of 12×0.69

GDPgross domestic product±1.0%6 of 19×0.50

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%9 of 19×0.48

CPIconsumer prices±1.0%4 of 10×0.48

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.0% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.0% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.93 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.93	—
Q1 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	0.23	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	0.04	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod