What move does the options market price into Republic Bancorp's report?

Implied ±9.3%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Republic Bancorp move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

RBCAANasdaqState Commercial Banks

Republic Bancorp Inc (RBCAA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

91.86

+0.73 · +0.80%

Regular session09:33 ET

Open91.86Volume119,397Mkt cap$1.8BP/E13.98Div yield2.12%

Day91.86 – 91.8650%52-wk62.42 – 101.6875%

RBCAA

Republic Bancorp Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.3%implied · straddle

82.6799.59

spot 91.13exp Feb 19ATM strike 90ATM straddle 9.95IV 26%

Nov 5 closeprovisionalthin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Jan 29

before open · in 84 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.65%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 23 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+14.58%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

159 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

RBCAA weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Republic Bancorp (RBCAA) is expected to report on Jan 29 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.9%
avg realized: ±2.6%

Jan 24 '25Jan 24 '25confirmed±4.3%▼−2.42%×0.57

Apr 24 '25Apr 24 '25confirmed±7.7%▲+1.21%×0.16

Jul 18 '25Jul 18 '25confirmed±5.7%▲+0.07%×0.01

Q3 FY25Oct 17 '25confirmed±6.3%▲+3.76%×0.60

Jan 30 '26Jan 30 '26confirmed±6.2%▲+1.69%×0.27

Q1 FY26Apr 23 '26confirmed±6.4%▲+6.02%×0.94

Q2 FY26Jul 24 '26confirmed±5.0%▲+3.16%×0.63

Oct 23 '26Oct 23 '26confirmed—▼−0.65%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26—▼−0.65%—

Q2 FY26±5.0%▲+3.16%×0.63

Q1 FY26±6.4%▲+6.02%×0.94

Jan '26±6.2%▲+1.69%×0.27

Q3 FY25±6.3%▲+3.76%×0.60

Jul '25±5.7%▲+0.07%×0.01

2 older reports

Apr '25±7.7%▲+1.21%×0.16

Jan '25±4.3%▼−2.42%×0.57

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 16 close

0.00OI · 2 expiries · Oct 16 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

80%Nov 2014d0.061330%0.06

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

0—Feb 19105d2000%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2014d80%1330%0.06

report · Jan 29 · before open · est.

Feb 19105d0—2000%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.3%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VIG±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

29.89%as filednet margin · revenue +2.63% QoQ · +11.11% YoY

Revenue$104M+2.63%

Pre-tax income$40M−6.86%

Net income$31M29.89%−5.46%

Tax$9M−11.59%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 5 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 09:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.67· ±2.3% vs ±1.4% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.3%10 of 24×1.67

PPIproducer prices±1.3%7 of 11×0.93

CPROFcorporate profits±1.0%7 of 12×0.72

GDPgross domestic product±0.8%10 of 20×0.62

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%5 of 11×0.57

NFPjobs report±0.7%5 of 10×0.54

PCEpersonal income & outlays±0.7%9 of 20×0.52

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 3.03 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	3.03	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 24 '26 · confirmed	3.21	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 23 '26 · confirmed	4.16	—
Q3 FY25	Oct 17 '25 · confirmed	2.91	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod