What move does the options market price into PubMatic's report?

Implied ±13.8%, either direction.

How often does PubMatic move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PUBMNasdaqServices-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc.

PubMatic, Inc. (PUBM) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

16.15

Regular session16:00 ET

Open15.58Volume1.0MMkt cap$709.2MEPS-0.30

Day15.58 – 16.15100%52-wk6.15 – 19.4875%

PUBM

PubMatic, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±13.8%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±18.0%·×0.76·cheap

13.9218.38

straddle ±16.6%

spot 16.15exp Nov 20ATM strike 15ATM straddle 3.15IV 115%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 5 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+31.90%

vs ±16.1% implied · ×1.99

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

14hGOOGL · customerGoogle responds to political backlash over removing search from schools that ban AI
20hTTD · customerThe Trade Desk Strengthens Leadership Bench, Expands Engagement with Dave Pickles

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+10.74%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

153 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

PUBM weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

PubMatic (PUBM) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±15.6%
avg realized: ±18.0%

Feb 27 '25Feb 27 '25confirmed±16.1%▼−23.91%×1.49

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±13.3%▲+0.82%×0.06

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed±14.3%▼−21.10%×1.48

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±17.3%▲+43.40%×2.50

Feb 26 '26Feb 26 '26confirmed±17.1%▲+14.57%×0.85

Q1 FY26Apr 22 '26confirmed±16.8%▼−3.78%×0.22

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±13.6%▲+4.88%×0.36

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±16.1%▲+31.90%×1.99

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Q2 FY26±16.1%▲+31.90%×1.99

May '26±13.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 23 close

0.58OI · 4 expiries · Oct 23 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

608+21%Nov 2016d1,053+16%

0—Dec 1844d0.0016+167%0.00

5,5330%Jan 1572d1.533,621+14%1.53

1,216+20%Apr 16163d5.532200%5.53

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d608+21%1,053+16%0.58

Dec 1844d0—16+167%0.00

Jan 1572d5,5330%3,621+14%1.53

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±16.6%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Customers 1

TTD±4.8%×0.29

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−1.53%as filednet margin · revenue +25.61% QoQ · +10.55% YoY

Revenue$79M+25.61%

Gross profit$53M67.07%+44.53%

Operating income$579,0000.74%+103.79%

Pre-tax income$2M+112.45%

Net income−$1M−1.53%+90.39%

Cost of revenue$26M−0.83%

Operating expenses$52M+0.76%

Tax$3M+218.53%

Other income$1M+703.70%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.38· ±5.6% vs ±2.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±5.6%4 of 10×2.38

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.1%7 of 19×1.33

PPIproducer prices±3.0%6 of 10×1.27

CPROFcorporate profits±2.0%5 of 12×0.83

GDPgross domestic product±1.9%7 of 19×0.81

FOMCrate decision±1.6%14 of 24×0.69

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%5 of 10×0.69

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±2.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.03 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.03	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 22 '26 · confirmed	-0.27	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	-0.14	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod