What move does the options market price into Palantir Technologies's report?

Implied ±9.6%, either direction.

How often does Palantir Technologies move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

PLTRNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

178.48

pre 165.00 −7.48%

Pre-market06:28 ETdelayed

Open167.23Volume37.2MMkt cap$428.6BP/E130.95EPS1.26

Day164.06 – 169.2818%52-wk106.37 – 212.9455%

PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.6%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±14.8%·×0.65·cheap

161.15195.53

straddle ±21.7%

spot 178.34exp Feb 19ATM strike 180ATM straddle 45.47IV 58%

Nov 2 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 1

after close · in 90 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 2

after close

confirmedOct 30 close

Implied vs realized

Linked news

14hVOYG · customerVoyager posts Q3 revenue $89 million, raises full-year revenue guidance to $285 million–$305 million
39dRCAT · customerRed Cat Celebrates Inaugural Blue Ops Day in Georgia, Marking a Year of Growth in U.S. Maritime Manufacturing

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.57%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

2,887 managers

Top fund weight

3.11%

PLTR weight · ARKK

N-PORTJul 31 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Palantir Technologies (PLTR) is expected to report on Feb 1 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±10.4%
avg realized: ±14.8%

Nov 4 '24Nov 4 '24confirmed±11.4%▲+23.47%×2.07

Feb 3 '25Feb 3 '25confirmed±11.8%▲+23.99%×2.04

May 5 '25May 5 '25confirmed±12.2%▼−12.05%×0.98

Aug 4 '25Aug 4 '25confirmed±10.2%▲+7.85%×0.77

Q3 FY25Nov 3 '25confirmed±8.5%▼−7.94%×0.93

Feb 2 '26Feb 2 '26confirmed±9.4%▲+6.85%×0.73

Q1 FY26May 4 '26confirmed±8.2%▼−6.93%×0.85

Q2 FY26Aug 3 '26confirmed±11.1%▲+29.45%×2.64

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26±11.1%▲+29.45%×2.64

Q1 FY26±8.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 11 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.94OI · 11 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6 nearer expiries

104,749+64%Nov 63d0.86121,573+60%0.86

23,419+19%Nov 1310d0.9724,058+24%0.97

170,106+2%Nov 2017d1.03165,3730%1.03

11,810+15%Nov 2724d1.1410,370+5%1.14

3,530+17%Dec 431d0.794,459+8%0.79

1,611+853%Dec 1138d2.62616+211%2.62

309,4100%Dec 1845d1.41219,3880%1.41

384,863+1%Jan 1573d1.20320,0530%1.20

report · Feb 1 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

6 nearer expiries

Nov 63d104,749+64%121,573+60%0.86

Nov 1310d23,419+19%24,058+24%0.97

Nov 2017d170,106+2%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±21.7%

Funds 4

ARKK±0.7%

XLK±0.3%

QQQ±0.3%

VUG±0.2%

Customers 2

RCAT±14.9%×0.69

VOYG±10.7%×0.50

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

49.04%as filednet margin · revenue +19.53% QoQ · +95.87% YoY

Revenue

$2.3B+19.53% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.9B+17.79% QoQ

83.43% margin

Operating income

$1.1B+18.95% QoQ

46.89% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.1B+6.16% QoQ

Net income

$1.1B+6.42% QoQ

49.04% margin

Cost of revenue

$383M+29.11% QoQ

Operating expenses

$845M+16.34% QoQ

Marketing $397M

SG&A $229M

R&D $220M

Tax

$14M−11.85% QoQ

Other income

$63M−62.70% QoQ

Revenue$2.3B+19.53%

Gross profit

$1.9B+17.79%

83.43% margin

Operating income

$1.1B+18.95%

46.89% margin

Pre-tax income

$1.1B+6.16%

Net income

$1.1B+6.42%

49.04% margin

Cost of revenue

$383M+29.11%

Operating expenses

$845M+16.34%

Marketing $397M

SG&A $229M

R&D $220M

Other income$63M−62.70%

Tax$14M−11.85%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 2 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 06:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.17· ±3.2% vs ±2.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.2%6 of 10×1.17

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.6%11 of 19×0.96

CPROFcorporate profits±2.5%7 of 12×0.91

FOMCrate decision±1.9%13 of 24×0.72

GDPgross domestic product±1.9%12 of 19×0.70

PPIproducer prices±1.9%5 of 11×0.70

CPIconsumer prices±1.9%5 of 11×0.69

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.44 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	0.44	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 3 '26 · confirmed	0.41	—
Q1 FY26	May 4 '26 · confirmed	0.34	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 3 '25 · confirmed	0.18	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod