What move does the options market price into Moog's report?

Implied ±8.4%, either direction.

MOG-ANYSEMisc Industrial & Commercial Machinery & Equipment

Moog Inc. (MOG-A) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

347.75

−15.06 · −4.15%

post 348.92 +0.34%

Closed17:53 ET

Open362.81Volume305,362Mkt cap$11.1BP/E29.32EPS11.90Div yield0.34%

Day347.74 – 362.818%52-wk191.60 – 448.8561%

MOG-A

Moog Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.4%implied · straddle

321.18380.16

spot 350.67exp Nov 20ATM strike 350ATM straddle 34.70

Oct 30 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 20

before open · in 18 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−7.01%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 31 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

31.00%

of MOG-A revenue · Five largest customers (undisclosed)

customerMOG-A 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+2.44%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26125d lag

538 managers

Top fund weight

0.38%

MOG-A weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Moog (MOG-A) is expected to report on Nov 20 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

—≥ implied

Nov 1 '24Nov 1 '24confirmed—▲+2.73%—

Jan 24 '25Jan 24 '25confirmed—▼−7.22%—

Apr 25 '25Apr 25 '25confirmed—▼−0.21%—

Jul 25 '25Jul 25 '25confirmed—▼−1.77%—

Nov 21 '25Nov 21 '25confirmed—▲+8.16%—

Jan 30 '26Jan 30 '26confirmed—▲+6.02%—

Q2 FY26Apr 24 '26confirmed—▲+2.26%—

Q3 FY26Jul 31 '26confirmed—▼−7.01%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▼−7.01%—

Q2 FY26—▲+2.26%—

Jan '26—▲+6.02%—

Nov '25—▲+8.16%—

Jul '25—▼−1.77%—

Apr '25—▼−0.21%—

2 older reports

Jan '25—▼−7.22%—

Nov '24—▲+2.73%—

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.71OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

47+27%Nov 2018d66+2%

180+1%Dec 1846d0.553250%0.55

540%Mar 19137d0.43125−1%0.43

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2018d47+27%66+2%0.71

Dec 1846d180+1%3250%0.55

Mar 19137d540%125−1%0.43

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.4%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Customers 1

BA±3.0%×0.36

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

13.62%as filednet margin · revenue +6.14% QoQ · +15.16% YoY

Revenue

$1.1B+6.14% QoQ

Gross profit

$347M+20.76% QoQ

31.10% margin

Operating income

$154M+25.35% QoQ

13.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$137M+26.29% QoQ

Net income

$152M+85.76% QoQ

13.62% margin

Cost of revenue

$769M+0.64% QoQ

Operating expenses

$193M+17.32% QoQ

SG&A $151M

R&D $33M

Other operating $9M

Other expense

$17M

Tax benefit

$15M

Revenue$1.1B+6.14%

Gross profit

$347M+20.76%

31.10% margin

Operating income

$154M+25.35%

13.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$137M+26.29%

Net income

$152M+85.76%

13.62% margin

Cost of revenue

$769M+0.64%

Operating expenses

$193M+17.32%

SG&A $151M

R&D $33M

Other operating $9M

Other expense

$17M

Tax benefit$15M

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 27 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.35· ±2.0% vs ±1.5% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±2.0%13 of 19×1.35

CPROFcorporate profits±2.0%9 of 12×1.35

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.0%9 of 19×1.34

PPIproducer prices±1.8%5 of 10×1.22

FOMCrate decision±1.6%14 of 24×1.07

NFPjobs report±1.1%3 of 10×0.71

CPIconsumer prices±0.8%5 of 10×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 4.74 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Jul 31 '26 · confirmed	4.74	—
Q2 FY26	Apr 24 '26 · confirmed	2.55	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod