What move does the options market price into Montauk Renewables's report?

Implied ±24.0%, either direction.

How often does Montauk Renewables move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MNTKNasdaqGas & Other Services Combined

Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

2.60

+0.12 · +4.65%

Regular session11:34 ET

Open2.65Volume669,511Mkt cap$353.0M

Day2.59 – 2.658%52-wk1.07 – 3.2869%

MNTK

Montauk Renewables, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±24.0%implied · straddle

1.883.08

spot 2.48exp Nov 20ATM strike 2.5ATM straddle 0.70IV 165%

Nov 3 closethin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Today

after close

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.58%

vs ±63.5% implied · ×0.01

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

11.30%

of MNTK revenue · Exxon

customerMNTK 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+4.48%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

90 managers

Top fund weight

0.00%

MNTK weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Montauk Renewables (MNTK) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±57.9%
avg realized: ±4.9%

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±27.7%▼−6.25%×0.23

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±27.7%▼−6.25%×0.23

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±37.0%▼−15.90%×0.43

Mar 11 '26Mar 11 '26confirmed±85.0%▲+3.30%×0.04

Q1 FY26Mar 12 '26confirmed±85.0%▲+3.30%×0.04

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±73.5%▼−2.74%×0.04

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±63.5%▼−0.58%×0.01

Aug 6 '26Aug 6 '26confirmed±63.5%▼−0.58%×0.01

quarterimplied−85%0+85%realized×

Aug '26±63.5%▼−0.58%×0.01

Q2 FY26±63.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.06OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

210%Nov 2016d355+5%

410%Jan 1572d0.133110%0.13

430%Apr 16163d0.251700%0.25

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d210%355+5%0.06

Jan 1572d410%3110%0.13

Apr 16163d430%1700%0.25

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±24.0%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

0.42%as filednet margin · revenue +16.35% QoQ · +19.71% YoY

Revenue$54M+16.35%

Gross profit$45M83.68%+17.75%

Operating income−$75,000−0.14%+95.31%

Pre-tax income$2M+856.31%

Net income$226,0000.42%+4420.00%

Cost of revenue$9M+9.67%

Operating expenses$45M+13.23%

Tax$2M+767.79%

Other income$2M+75.42%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 11:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.22· ±4.2% vs ±3.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±4.2%5 of 10×1.22

FOMCrate decision±4.1%10 of 24×1.18

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.4%3 of 19×1.00

GDPgross domestic product±3.4%8 of 19×0.99

CPROFcorporate profits±2.9%5 of 12×0.84

NFPjobs report±2.8%4 of 10×0.82

CPIconsumer prices±2.3%3 of 10×0.66

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±3.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.00 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.00	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 12 '26 · confirmed	0.00	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod