How often does MasterBrand move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

MBCNYSEWood Household Furniture, (No Upholstered)

MasterBrand, Inc. (MBC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

7.25

Closed16:00 ET

Open7.26Volume2.1MMkt cap$1.1BEPS-0.68

Day7.15 – 7.2878%52-wk6.17 – 13.9614%

MBC

MasterBrand, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

No implied move.

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 3

after close · in 2 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.59%

vs ±11.9% implied · ×0.30

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 4 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

20.00%

of MBC revenue · Lowe's Companies

customerMBC 10-K

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+68.83%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

346 managers

Top fund weight

0.07%

MBC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

MasterBrand (MBC) is expected to report on Nov 3 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.5%
avg realized: ±9.3%

Nov 5 '24Nov 5 '24confirmed±9.6%▼−3.81%×0.40

Feb 18 '25Feb 18 '25confirmed±8.5%▼−5.91%×0.69

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±9.5%▼−15.78%×1.66

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±10.4%▲+9.27%×0.89

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±18.4%▼−14.41%×0.78

Feb 10 '26Feb 10 '26confirmed±15.3%▼−12.74%×0.83

Q1 FY26May 5 '26confirmed±16.5%▼−8.66%×0.53

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±11.9%▼−3.59%×0.30

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±11.9%▼−3.59%×0.30

Q1 FY26±16.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.11OI · 2 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Jan 15 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

80%Jan 1575d740%

8+167%Apr 16166d0.05172+6%0.05

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Jan 1575d80%740%0.11

Apr 16166d8+167%172+6%0.05

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

No implied move.

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−7.07%as filednet margin · revenue +31.91% QoQ · +11.53% YoY

Revenue$815M+31.91%

Gross profit$206M25.21%+31.23%

Operating income−$28M−3.41%−50.27%

Pre-tax income−$49M−34.35%

Net income−$58M−7.07%−274.03%

Cost of revenue$610M+32.14%

Operating expenses$233M+33.24%

Tax$9M+143.96%

Other expense−$21M−17.61%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 28 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.89· ±4.0% vs ±2.1% · 9 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.0%4 of 9×1.89

FOMCrate decision±3.3%8 of 24×1.56

PPIproducer prices±2.8%4 of 10×1.29

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.8%7 of 19×0.84

GDPgross domestic product±1.7%8 of 19×0.78

CPROFcorporate profits±1.5%6 of 12×0.72

CPIconsumer prices±0.9%4 of 10×0.42

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.38 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	-0.38	—
Q1 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	0.14	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod