What move does the options market price into Kennametal's report?

Implied ±9.4%, either direction.

How often does Kennametal move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

KMTNYSEMachine Tools, Metal Cutting Types

Kennametal Inc (KMT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

28.69

Closed16:29 ET

Open30.18Volume907,387Mkt cap$2.2BP/E6.39EPS4.49Div yield2.75%

Day28.69 – 30.180%52-wk21.18 – 43.3034%

KMT

Kennametal Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.4%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±10.2%·×0.92·fair

26.3731.83

straddle ±10.4%

spot 29.10exp Nov 20ATM strike 30ATM straddle 3.58IV 62%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

before open · in 3 days

est.Q1 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.27%

vs ±10.4% implied · ×0.51

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5dATMU · supplierAtmus Filtration Technologies senior VP and chief people officer Renee Swan to resign effective Nov 11, 2026

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.02%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

339 managers

Top fund weight

0.08%

KMT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Kennametal (KMT) is expected to report on Nov 4 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.9%
avg realized: ±10.2%

Nov 6 '24Nov 6 '24confirmed±8.8%▲+17.49%×1.99

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±6.6%▼−3.37%×0.51

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±6.7%▼−0.30%×0.04

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±8.0%▼−18.23%×2.28

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+14.29%×1.35

Q2 FY26Feb 4 '26confirmed±10.9%▲+7.24%×0.66

Q3 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±9.5%▲+15.36%×1.62

Q4 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±10.4%▼−5.27%×0.51

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q4 FY26±10.4%▼−5.27%×0.51

Q3 FY26±9.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.38OI · 3 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

128+16%Nov 2019d341+1%

1800%Jan 1575d0.563220%0.56

73—Apr 16166d0.50145—0.50

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d128+16%341+1%0.38

Jan 1575d1800%3220%0.56

Apr 16166d73—145—0.50

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.4%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Suppliers 1

ATMU±4.5%×0.43

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

derived from FYQ4 FY26

31.15%derived from FYnet margin · revenue +24.31% QoQ · +42.63% YoY

Revenue

$737M+24.31% QoQ

Gross profit

$434M+108.46% QoQ

58.86% margin

Operating income

$303M+281.32% QoQ

41.12% margin

Pre-tax income

$299M+275.42% QoQ

Net income

$229M+275.41% QoQ

31.15% margin

Cost of revenue

$303M−21.20% QoQ

Operating expenses

$131M+1.66% QoQ

SG&A $126M

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$4M

Tax

$70M+275.44% QoQ

Revenue$737M+24.31%

Gross profit

$434M+108.46%

58.86% margin

Operating income

$303M+281.32%

41.12% margin

Pre-tax income

$299M+275.42%

Net income

$229M+275.41%

31.15% margin

Cost of revenue

$303M−21.20%

Operating expenses

$131M+1.66%

SG&A $126M

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$4M

Tax$70M+275.44%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQDerived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.34· ±3.8% vs ±1.6% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.8%3 of 10×2.34

CPIconsumer prices±2.6%6 of 10×1.60

FOMCrate decision±1.9%10 of 24×1.17

CPROFcorporate profits±1.8%7 of 12×1.11

PPIproducer prices±1.7%4 of 10×1.08

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%8 of 19×0.92

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%10 of 19×0.92

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±1.6% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.6% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.93 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q4 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	2.93	—
Q3 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	0.75	—
Q2 FY26	Feb 4 '26 · confirmed	0.44	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod