What move does the options market price into Joby Aviation's report?

Implied ±6.0%, either direction.

How often does Joby Aviation move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

JOBYNYSEAircraft

Joby Aviation, Inc. (JOBY) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

4.90

Closed19:33 ET

Open4.96Volume16.3MMkt cap$4.8BEPS-0.98

Day4.78 – 4.9667%52-wk4.43 – 17.514%

JOBY

Joby Aviation, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±6.0%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±6.3%·×0.95·fair

4.615.19

straddle ±9.3%

spot 4.90exp Nov 6ATM strike 5ATM straddle 0.53IV 97%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

after close · in 3 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+5.51%

vs ±11.2% implied · ×0.49

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

3dLHX · customerL3HARRIS posts third-quarter net income of $632 million, diluted EPS $3.28
3dUBER · customerFTC demands Walmart, Uber, Delta and others hand over data on personalized pricing: Reuters
3dTM · supplierToyota reinterpreta el Crown Signia como GT-S Performance Concept para el SEMA

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+5.51%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

534 managers

Top fund weight

0.19%

JOBY weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Joby Aviation (JOBY) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.6%
avg realized: ±6.3%

Feb 26 '25Feb 26 '25confirmed±10.1%▲+0.75%×0.07

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±7.2%▲+3.58%×0.49

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±9.0%▼−8.87%×0.99

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±8.1%▼−4.53%×0.56

Feb 2 '26Feb 2 '26confirmed±5.9%▲+1.61%×0.27

Q1 FY26Feb 25 '26confirmed±8.8%▲+4.18%×0.48

May 5 '26May 5 '26confirmed±8.6%▲+21.20%×2.47

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±11.2%▲+5.51%×0.49

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±11.2%▲+5.51%×0.49

May '26±8.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 9 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.25OI · 9 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,178+55%Nov 65d8,632+218%

2,460+33%Nov 1312d0.902,738+60%0.90

16,969+10%Nov 2019d0.4042,531+12%0.40

450+25%Nov 2726d0.46973+13%0.46

123—Dec 433d1.4386—1.43

4 later expiries

1,272+41%Dec 1847d0.353,662+426%0.35

31,4010%Jan 1575d0.21

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 65d2,178+55%8,632+218%0.25

Nov 1312d2,460+33%2,738+60%0.90

Nov 2019d16,969+10%42,531+12%0.40

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.3%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Customers 1

UBER±1.3%×0.13

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−1575.17%as filednet margin · revenue −62.93% QoQ · +113.38% YoY

Revenue$16M−62.93%

Pre-tax income−$245M−123.44%

Net income−$245M−1575.17%−123.23%

Tax$142,000−15.48%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.10· ±3.8% vs ±3.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.8%3 of 10×1.10

CPROFcorporate profits±3.5%4 of 12×1.02

PPIproducer prices±3.4%5 of 10×1.01

GDPgross domestic product±3.3%7 of 19×0.97

PCEpersonal income & outlays±3.3%8 of 19×0.96

CPIconsumer prices±3.2%6 of 10×0.95

FOMCrate decision±2.8%11 of 24×0.81

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.25 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.25	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 25 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	-0.48	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod