What move does the options market price into Jack IN the Box's report?

Implied ±9.6%, either direction.

How often does Jack IN the Box move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

JACKNasdaqRetail-Eating Places

Jack IN the Box Inc (JACK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

14.36

+1.09 · +8.23%

post 14.62 +1.80%

Closed16:17 ET

Open13.53Volume699,090Mkt cap$275.6MP/E8.40EPS1.74

Day13.53 – 14.6895%52-wk8.92 – 23.8638%

JACK

Jack IN the Box Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.6%implied · straddle

12.9915.75

spot 14.37exp Nov 20ATM strike 15ATM straddle 1.62IV 65%

Nov 4 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 18

after close · in 13 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.05%

vs ±11.9% implied · ×0.00

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 12 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

9hKRT · supplierKarat Packaging declares quarterly cash dividend of $0.47 per share

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+11.06%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

132 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

JACK weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Jack IN the Box (JACK) is expected to report on Nov 18 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.9%
avg realized: ±8.2%

Feb 25 '25Feb 25 '25confirmed±14.0%▲+11.75%×0.84

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±11.8%▼−5.72%×0.48

May 14 '25May 14 '25confirmed±5.7%▼−6.27%×1.11

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±9.9%▼−1.64%×0.17

Nov 19 '25Nov 19 '25confirmed±9.0%▲+7.79%×0.86

Q1 FY26Feb 18 '26confirmed±8.3%▼−18.13%×2.18

Q2 FY26May 13 '26confirmed±8.6%▼−14.15%×1.65

Q3 FY26Aug 12 '26confirmed±11.9%▼−0.05%×0.00

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±11.9%▼−0.05%×0.00

Q2 FY26±8.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.17OI · 4 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

347+11%Nov 2015d2,067−9%

1,5970%Dec 1843d0.533,031+7%0.53

2,5870%Jan 1571d0.663,929+2%0.66

6360%Mar 19134d1.16549+4%1.16

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d347+11%2,067−9%0.17

Dec 1843d1,5970%3,031+7%0.53

Jan 1571d2,5870%3,929+2%0.66

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±9.6%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Suppliers 1

KRT±1.3%×0.14

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

7.81%as filednet margin · revenue +1.33% QoQ · −1.81% YoY

Revenue

$258M+1.33% QoQ

Gross profit

$178M+1.88% QoQ

69.23% margin

Operating income

$53M+48.86% QoQ

20.49% margin

Pre-tax income

$33M+92.45% QoQ

Net income

$20M+96.41% QoQ

7.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$79M+0.13% QoQ

Operating expenses

$126M−10.05% QoQ

Other operating $51M

Marketing $47M

SG&A $17M

Other operating $11M

Other expense

$19M

Tax

$12M+157.00% QoQ

Revenue$258M+1.33%

Gross profit

$178M+1.88%

69.23% margin

Operating income

$53M+48.86%

20.49% margin

Pre-tax income

$33M+92.45%

Net income

$20M+96.41%

7.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$79M+0.13%

Operating expenses

$126M−10.05%

Other operating $51M

Marketing $47M

SG&A $17M

Other expense

$19M

Tax$12M+157.00%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jul 5 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.04· ±2.9% vs ±2.8% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.9%7 of 24×1.04

CPROFcorporate profits±2.6%6 of 12×0.92

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.5%4 of 19×0.90

NFPjobs report±2.5%5 of 10×0.89

PPIproducer prices±2.5%5 of 10×0.88

GDPgross domestic product±2.3%8 of 19×0.82

CPIconsumer prices±2.3%7 of 10×0.81

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.03 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Aug 12 '26 · confirmed	1.03	—
Q2 FY26	May 13 '26 · confirmed	0.53	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 18 '26 · confirmed	-0.13	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod