IPINYSEMining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels)

Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

30.66

−0.09 · −0.31%

post 30.66 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open29.49Volume367,108Mkt cap$418.0MP/E16.75EPS1.83

Day29.22 – 30.66100%52-wk22.55 – 50.3429%

IPI

Intrepid Potash, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±19.1%implied · straddle

25.3137.25

spot 31.28exp Mar 19ATM strike 31ATM straddle 7.02IV 47%

Nov 4 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 5

after close · in 121 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+1.72%

vs ±9.3% implied · ×0.19

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

40.00%

of IPI revenue · Undisclosed direct customer

customerIPI 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+19.58%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

150 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

IPI weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Intrepid Potash (IPI) is expected to report on Mar 5 after close (estimated date). Implied ±19.1%, either direction · provisional. 2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.7%
avg realized: ±6.1%

Mar 3 '25Mar 3 '25confirmed±9.7%▼−1.95%×0.20

May 5 '25May 5 '25confirmed±9.7%▲+17.26%×1.78

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±8.8%▼−5.25%×0.60

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±11.3%▼−8.56%×0.76

Q1 FY26Mar 4 '26confirmed±8.6%▲+10.57%×1.24

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±8.5%▲+2.50%×0.29

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±11.9%▼−0.62%×0.05

Q3 FY26Nov 3 '26confirmed±9.3%▲+1.72%×0.19

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±9.3%▲+1.72%×0.19

Q2 FY26±11.9%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.42OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

145+6%

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±19.1%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

3.39%as filednet margin · revenue −23.47% QoQ · −4.11% YoY

Revenue

$51M−23.47% QoQ

Gross profit

$10M−39.69% QoQ

19.68% margin

Operating income

$209,000−80.34% QoQ

0.41% margin

Pre-tax income

$2M−29.65% QoQ

Net income

$2M−88.88% QoQ

3.39% margin

Cost of revenue

$41M−18.07% QoQ

Operating expenses

$10M−36.92% QoQ

Other income

$2M+9.14% QoQ

Tax benefit

$7,000

Revenue$51M−23.47%

Gross profit

$10M−39.69%

19.68% margin

Operating income

$209,000−80.34%

0.41% margin

Pre-tax income

$2M−29.65%

Net income

$2M−88.88%

3.39% margin

Cost of revenue

$41M−18.07%

Operating expenses

$10M−36.92%

Other income$2M+9.14%

Tax benefit$7,000

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.44· ±3.2% vs ±2.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.2%3 of 10×1.44

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 3 '26 · confirmed	0.13	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	1.17	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 4 '26 · confirmed	0.56	—

Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Implied vs realized

Implied vs realized

Positioning

Positioning

Linked exposure

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

Revenue flow

Intraday

Intraday

Event sensitivity

Revenue flow

Implied vs realized

Positioning

Linked exposure

Event sensitivity

Earnings history

Methodology

Intrepid Potash, Inc. (IPI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

Intraday