What move does the options market price into Ibotta's report?

Implied ±25.8%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Ibotta move more than the options market prices?

6 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

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Ibotta, Inc. (IBTA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

60.46

pre 61.11 +1.26%

Pre-market04:06 ETdelayed

Open61.11Volume471,030Mkt cap$1.2BEPS-0.46

Day61.11 – 61.1150%52-wk19.10 – 50.54100%

IBTA

Ibotta, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±25.8%implied · straddle

44.7575.95

spot 60.35exp Mar 19ATM strike 60ATM straddle 18.35IV 63%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 24

after close · in 112 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+20.53%

vs ±20.5% implied · ×1.00

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 2 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4dDASH · customerDoorDash net income $466 million, revenue $4,616 million in quarter ended Sept. 30, 2026
6dWMT · customerFTC demands Walmart, Uber, Delta and others hand over data on personalized pricing: Reuters

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.58%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

146 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

IBTA weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ibotta (IBTA) is expected to report on Feb 24 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

6 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±16.8%
avg realized: ±27.7%

Feb 26 '25Feb 26 '25confirmed±14.4%▼−46.09%×3.19

May 14 '25May 14 '25confirmed±12.8%▲+20.17%×1.57

Aug 13 '25Aug 13 '25confirmed±16.4%▼−30.28%×1.85

Nov 12 '25Nov 12 '25confirmed±15.1%▼−23.68%×1.56

Q1 FY26Feb 25 '26confirmed±17.2%▲+28.54%×1.66

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±18.6%▼−0.59%×0.03

Q2 FY26Aug 3 '26confirmed±19.6%▲+51.91%×2.64

Nov 2 '26Nov 2 '26confirmed±20.5%▲+20.53%×1.00

quarterimplied−55%0+55%realized×

Nov '26±20.5%▲+20.53%×1.00

Q2 FY26±19.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.46OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

770%Dec 1844d0.253040%0.25

2700%Jan 1572d0.348010%0.34

report · Feb 24 · after close · est.

530%Mar 19135d1160%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1844d770%3040%0.25

Jan 1572d2700%8010%0.34

report · Feb 24 · after close · est.

Mar 19135d530%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±25.8%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−3.58%as filednet margin · revenue +10.03% QoQ · +17.49% YoY

Revenue$98M+10.03%

Gross profit$78M79.85%+12.05%

Operating income$5M4.83%+351.57%

Pre-tax income$6M+1243.42%

Net income−$4M−3.58%−185.03%

Cost of revenue$20M+2.72%

Operating expenses$73M+2.51%

Tax$10M+1275.32%

Other income$1M+1.19%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

No trades yet today.

Intraday

Event sensitivity

GDP ×1.25· ±3.6% vs ±2.8% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

GDPgross domestic product±3.6%9 of 19×1.25

FOMCrate decision±2.9%7 of 20×1.01

NFPjobs report±2.7%5 of 10×0.93

CPIconsumer prices±2.3%4 of 10×0.83

PPIproducer prices±2.3%6 of 10×0.82

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%7 of 19×0.66

CPROFcorporate profits±1.1%7 of 12×0.40

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.15 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	—	-0.15	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 3 '26 · confirmed	-0.05	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 25 '26 · confirmed	-0.43	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod