What move does the options market price into Hallador Energy's report?

Implied ±15.3%, either direction.

How often does Hallador Energy move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

HNRGNasdaqElectric Services

Hallador Energy Co (HNRG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

10.11

+0.75 · +8.01%

post 10.11 0.00%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open9.56Volume2.3MMkt cap$441.3MP/E252.75EPS0.04

Day9.56 – 10.3074%52-wk8.85 – 24.708%

HNRG

Hallador Energy Co

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±15.3%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±11.5%·×1.33·rich

8.5611.64

straddle ±16.8%

spot 10.10exp Nov 20ATM strike 10ATM straddle 2.00IV 128%

Nov 6 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 9

after close · in 3 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.51%

vs ±12.1% implied · ×0.13

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 10 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+8.98%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

174 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

HNRG weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Hallador Energy (HNRG) is expected to report on Nov 9 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.8%
avg realized: ±11.5%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±8.5%▲+25.65%×3.02

Mar 17 '25Mar 17 '25confirmed±14.1%▲+4.09%×0.29

May 12 '25May 12 '25confirmed±10.4%▲+21.40%×2.05

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed±13.0%▼−6.93%×0.53

Q3 FY25Nov 10 '25confirmed±15.1%▲+18.99%×1.25

Q1 FY26Mar 12 '26confirmed±14.0%▼−11.54%×0.83

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±15.2%▲+1.73%×0.11

Q2 FY26Aug 10 '26confirmed±12.1%▼−1.51%×0.13

quarterimplied−30%0+30%realized×

Q2 FY26±12.1%▼−1.51%×0.13

May '26±15.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 26 close

0.74OI · 4 expiries · Oct 26 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

3,9730%Nov 2014d5,3490%

80%Dec 1842d0.4219+19%0.42

5,9830%Jan 1570d0.3019,9690%0.30

116+1%Feb 19105d0.274360%0.27

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2014d3,9730%5,3490%0.74

Dec 1842d80%19+19%0.42

Jan 1570d5,9830%19,9690%0.30

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±16.8%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−15.01%as filednet margin · revenue −0.30% QoQ · −1.28% YoY

Revenue$102M−0.30%

Gross profit$6M5.44%−54.42%

Operating income−$13M−12.47%−124.00%

Pre-tax income−$16M−66.91%

Net income−$15M−15.01%−63.45%

Cost of revenue$96M+7.01%

Operating expenses$18M+2.37%

Tax−$1M−130.95%

Other expense−$4M+10.37%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 6 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.09· ±3.4% vs ±3.1% · 11 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±3.4%3 of 11×1.09

CPIconsumer prices±3.1%6 of 11×1.01

PPIproducer prices±3.0%3 of 11×0.97

GDPgross domestic product±2.7%11 of 20×0.87

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.7%10 of 20×0.86

FOMCrate decision±2.4%12 of 24×0.79

CPROFcorporate profits±1.7%7 of 12×0.56

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.32 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.32	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 12 '26 · confirmed	-0.20	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 10 '25 · confirmed	0.55	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod