What move does the options market price into Gatx's report?

Implied ±10.8%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Gatx move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GATXNYSETransportation Services

Gatx Corp (GATX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

185.29

−0.50 · −0.27%

Regular session10:53 ET

Open188.06Volume318,010Mkt cap$6.5BP/E17.16EPS10.80Div yield1.39%

Day185.28 – 188.060%52-wk148.22 – 204.0266%

GATX

Gatx Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.8%implied · straddle

165.82205.77

spot 185.79exp Mar 19ATM strike 185ATM straddle 23.50IV 26%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 18

before open · in 106 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+6.87%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.60%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

404 managers

Top fund weight

0.20%

GATX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

6 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Gatx (GATX) is expected to report on Feb 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.3%
avg realized: ±3.5%

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±4.7%▲+4.49%×0.95

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±6.5%▼−4.38%×0.68

Jul 29 '25Jul 29 '25confirmed±5.4%▲+1.12%×0.21

Oct 21 '25Oct 21 '25confirmed±5.7%▼−5.75%×1.00

Feb 19 '26Feb 19 '26confirmed±4.1%▼−0.64%×0.16

Q1 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±4.9%▼−8.28%×1.70

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±6.0%▲+0.04%×0.01

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed—▲+6.87%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+6.87%—

Q2 FY26±6.0%▲+0.04%×0.01

Q1 FY26±4.9%▼−8.28%×1.70

Feb '26±4.1%▼−0.64%×0.16

Oct '25±5.7%▼−5.75%×1.00

Jul '25±5.4%▲+1.12%×0.21

2 older reports

Apr '25±6.5%▼−4.38%×0.68

Jan '25±4.7%▲+4.49%×0.95

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 close

0.71OI · 3 expiries · Oct 29 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

39+8%Nov 2016d1.95200%1.95

1090%Dec 1844d0.661660%0.66

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

760%Mar 19135d107+2%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d39+8%200%1.95

Dec 1844d1090%1660%0.66

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

Mar 19135d760%107+2%0.71

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.8%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

MDY±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VIG±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

17.93%as filednet margin · revenue +3.09% QoQ · +36.13% YoY

Revenue

$598M+3.09% QoQ

Gross profit

$454M+6.07% QoQ

75.97% margin

Operating income

$244M+6.08% QoQ

40.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$101M+1.20% QoQ

Net income

$107M−3.42% QoQ

17.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$144M−5.34% QoQ

Operating expenses

$210M+6.05% QoQ

Depreciation $166M

SG&A $90M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$143M

Tax

$27M+2.69% QoQ

Revenue$598M+3.09%

Gross profit

$454M+6.07%

75.97% margin

Operating income

$244M+6.08%

40.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$101M+1.20%

Net income

$107M−3.42%

17.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$144M−5.34%

Operating expenses

$210M+6.05%

Depreciation $166M

SG&A $90M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$143M

Tax$27M+2.69%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 10:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×1.59· ±1.8% vs ±1.1% · 19 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.8%10 of 19×1.59

FOMCrate decision±1.5%12 of 24×1.37

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%8 of 12×1.26

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%14 of 19×1.11

CPIconsumer prices±1.0%5 of 10×0.89

NFPjobs report±1.0%5 of 10×0.86

PPIproducer prices±0.8%4 of 10×0.72

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.92 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	2.92	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	2.84	—
Q1 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	2.35	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod