What move does the options market price into Gatx's report?

Implied ±10.8%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Gatx move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 7 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

GATXNYSETransportation Services

Gatx Corp (GATX) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

184.01

Closed16:00 ET

Open184.20Volume171,307Mkt cap$6.4BP/E17.04EPS10.80Div yield1.42%

Day183.94 – 184.6410%52-wk148.48 – 204.0264%

GATX

Gatx Corp

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.8%implied · straddle

163.02202.46

spot 182.74exp Mar 19ATM strike 185ATM straddle 23.20IV 26%

Nov 6 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 18

before open · in 103 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+6.87%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.60%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26130d lag

404 managers

Top fund weight

0.20%

GATX weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

6 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Gatx (GATX) is expected to report on Feb 18 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 7≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.3%
avg realized: ±3.5%

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±4.7%▲+4.49%×0.95

Apr 23 '25Apr 23 '25confirmed±6.5%▼−4.38%×0.68

Jul 29 '25Jul 29 '25confirmed±5.4%▲+1.12%×0.21

Oct 21 '25Oct 21 '25confirmed±5.7%▼−5.75%×1.00

Feb 19 '26Feb 19 '26confirmed±4.1%▼−0.64%×0.16

Q1 FY26May 7 '26confirmed±4.9%▼−8.28%×1.70

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±6.0%▲+0.04%×0.01

Q3 FY26Oct 29 '26confirmed—▲+6.87%—

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+6.87%—

Q2 FY26±6.0%▲+0.04%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 6 close

1.03OI · 3 expiries · Nov 6 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

880%Nov 2013d0.71124−1%0.71

1520%Dec 1841d0.622470%0.62

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

1200%Mar 19132d1160%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2013d880%124−1%0.71

Dec 1841d1520%2470%0.62

report · Feb 18 · before open · est.

Mar 19132d1200%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±10.8%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

MDY±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VIG±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

17.93%as filednet margin · revenue +3.09% QoQ · +36.13% YoY

Revenue

$598M+3.09% QoQ

Gross profit

$454M+6.07% QoQ

75.97% margin

Operating income

$244M+6.08% QoQ

40.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$101M+1.20% QoQ

Net income

$107M−3.42% QoQ

17.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$144M−5.34% QoQ

Operating expenses

$210M+6.05% QoQ

Depreciation $166M

SG&A $90M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$143M

Tax

$27M+2.69% QoQ

Revenue$598M+3.09%

Gross profit

$454M+6.07%

75.97% margin

Operating income

$244M+6.08%

40.82% margin

Pre-tax income

$101M+1.20%

Net income

$107M−3.42%

17.93% margin

Cost of revenue

$144M−5.34%

Operating expenses

$210M+6.05%

Depreciation $166M

SG&A $90M

Other operating $6M

Other expense

$143M

Tax$27M+2.69%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 6 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PCE ×1.81· ±2.0% vs ±1.1% · 20 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.0%11 of 20×1.81

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%15 of 20×1.35

FOMCrate decision±1.5%12 of 24×1.32

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%8 of 12×1.26

NFPjobs report±1.1%5 of 11×0.94

CPIconsumer prices±1.0%5 of 11×0.85

PPIproducer prices±0.8%4 of 11×0.69

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.92 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 29 '26 · confirmed	2.92	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	2.84	—
Q1 FY26	May 7 '26 · confirmed	2.35	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod