What move does the options market price into Fluence Energy's report?

Implied ±16.1%, either direction.

How often does Fluence Energy move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

FLNCNasdaqMiscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies

Fluence Energy, Inc. (FLNC) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

6.04

pre 6.12 +0.99%

Pre-market04:41 ETdelayed

Open6.06Volume18.5MMkt cap$1.1BEPS-0.60

Day6.06 – 6.12100%52-wk5.18 – 33.513%

FLNC

Fluence Energy, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±16.1%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±22.5%·×0.72·cheap

5.087.04

straddle ±27.0%

spot 6.06exp Dec 18ATM strike 6ATM straddle 1.92IV 116%

Nov 4 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 23

after close · in 18 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−7.17%

vs ±25.4% implied · ×0.28

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dAES · customerAES discloses material weakness in internal control; Q3 net income $527 million

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−7.05%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

301 managers

Top fund weight

0.05%

FLNC weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Fluence Energy (FLNC) is expected to report on Nov 23 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±19.4%
avg realized: ±22.5%

Nov 25 '24Nov 25 '24confirmed±15.3%▼−19.15%×1.25

Feb 10 '25Feb 10 '25confirmed±14.9%▼−46.44%×3.11

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±19.8%▲+6.87%×0.35

Aug 11 '25Aug 11 '25confirmed±14.2%▼−19.37%×1.37

Nov 24 '25Nov 24 '25confirmed±25.0%▲+6.14%×0.25

Q1 FY26Feb 4 '26confirmed±21.8%▼−34.63%×1.59

Q2 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±19.0%▲+39.90%×2.10

Q3 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±25.4%▼−7.17%×0.28

quarterimplied−50%0+50%realized×

Q3 FY26±25.4%▼−7.17%×0.28

Q2 FY26±19.0%▲+39.90%×2.10

Q1 FY26±21.8%▼−34.63%×1.59

Nov '25±25.0%▲+6.14%×0.25

Aug '25±14.2%▼−19.37%×1.37

May '25±19.8%▲+6.87%×0.35

2 older reports

Feb '25±14.9%▼−46.44%×3.11

Nov '24±15.3%▼−19.15%×1.25

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.57OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

13,388+3%Nov 2015d0.3045,127+1%0.30

report · Nov 23 · after close · est.

1,337+68%Dec 1843d2,342+266%

24,6890%Jan 1571d0.3571,223+6%0.35

4,168−3%Feb 19106d0.825,108+13%0.82

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d13,388+3%45,127+1%0.30

report · Nov 23 · after close · est.

Dec 1843d1,337+68%2,342+266%0.57

Jan 1571d24,6890%71,223+6%0.35

Feb 19106d4,168−3%5,108+13%0.82

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±27.0%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Customers 1

AES±3.0%×0.11

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−6.81%as filednet margin · revenue +39.79% QoQ · +7.85% YoY

Revenue$650M+39.79%

Gross profit$33M5.12%−28.71%

Operating income−$58M−8.85%−46.70%

Pre-tax income−$44M−57.08%

Net income−$44M−6.81%−51.43%

Cost of revenue$617M+47.42%

Operating expenses$91M+5.73%

Tax$772,000−49.97%

Other income$14M+21.73%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 04:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.76· ±7.7% vs ±4.4% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±7.7%4 of 10×1.76

PPIproducer prices±4.5%4 of 10×1.03

CPIconsumer prices±4.5%8 of 10×1.02

FOMCrate decision±4.1%11 of 24×0.93

GDPgross domestic product±3.3%8 of 19×0.75

CPROFcorporate profits±3.0%6 of 12×0.70

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.6%7 of 19×0.59

Bar = avg |move| to ±8% · tick = ±4.4% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.4% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.24 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.24	—
Q2 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	-0.16	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 4 '26 · confirmed	-0.34	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod