EVLVNasdaqComputer Peripheral Equipment, NEC

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. (EVLV) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

4.78

+0.15 · +3.30%

Regular session12:56 ET

Open4.63Volume1.5MMkt cap$838.6MEPS-0.02

Day4.63 – 4.8764%52-wk4.02 – 7.5122%

EVLV

Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.7%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±9.2%·×1.05·fair

4.185.08

straddle ±12.9%

spot 4.63exp Nov 20ATM strike 5ATM straddle 0.70IV 77%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

after close · in 8 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.14%

vs ±9.6% implied · ×0.54

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 11 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

6dPLXS · supplierPlexus posts Q4 EPS $2.51, FY EPS $7.41 and guides Q1 EPS $2.16 to $2.32
36dMSI · customerYoung America Capital Advises DeepNeuronic on Sale to Motorola Solutions

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+9.99%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

261 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

EVLV weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Evolv Technologies (EVLV) is expected to report on Nov 12 after close (estimated date). Implied ±9.7%, either direction. 2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±15.2%
avg realized: ±9.2%

Jan 23 '25Jan 23 '25confirmed±17.8%▲+22.67%×1.27

Apr 28 '25Apr 28 '25confirmed±23.7%▼−1.44%×0.06

May 20 '25May 20 '25confirmed±18.1%▲+7.40%×0.41

Aug 14 '25Aug 14 '25confirmed±13.5%▲+5.16%×0.38

Q3 FY25Nov 13 '25confirmed±14.6%▼−8.81%×0.60

Q1 FY26Mar 10 '26confirmed±15.8%▲+9.52%×0.60

May 12 '26May 12 '26confirmed±8.2%▼−13.51%×1.65

Q2 FY26Aug 11 '26confirmed±9.6%▼−5.14%×0.54

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.6%▼−5.14%×0.54

May '26±8.2%▼−13.51%×1.65

Q1 FY26±15.8%▲+9.52%×0.60

Q3 FY25±14.6%▼−8.81%×0.60

Aug '25±13.5%▲+5.16%×0.38

May '25±18.1%▲+7.40%×0.41

2 older reports

Apr '25±23.7%▼−1.44%×0.06

Jan '25±17.8%▲+22.67%×1.27

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.10OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

80+11%Nov 2016d8320%

154—Dec 1844d4.0538—4.05

4,3920%Jan 1572d0.3014,8100%0.30

920+189%Apr 16163d1.48621+1%1.48

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d80+11%8320%0.10

Dec 1844d154—38—4.05

Jan 1572d4,3920%14,8100%0.30

Apr 16163d920+189%621+1%1.48

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±12.9%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−21.25%as filednet margin · revenue −5.56% QoQ · +34.44% YoY

Revenue$44M−5.56%

Gross profit$22M50.17%−6.98%

Operating income−$11M−24.11%−24.54%

Pre-tax income−$9M−84.26%

Net income−$9M−21.25%−85.63%

Cost of revenue$22M−4.08%

Operating expenses$33M+1.35%

Tax$0+100.00%

Other income$1M−63.43%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 12:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.17· ±3.7% vs ±3.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±3.7%4 of 10×1.17

FOMCrate decision±2.9%10 of 24×0.92

GDPgross domestic product±2.9%8 of 19×0.92

PPIproducer prices±2.8%4 of 10×0.91

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.7%8 of 19×0.86

CPROFcorporate profits±2.4%4 of 12×0.77

NFPjobs report±2.4%5 of 10×0.76

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±3.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.05 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 11 '26 · confirmed	-0.05	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 10 '26 · confirmed	-0.03	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 13 '25 · confirmed	-0.01	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod