What move does the options market price into Evolus's report?

Implied ±16.1%, either direction.

How often does Evolus move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

EOLSNasdaqPharmaceutical Preparations

Evolus, Inc. (EOLS) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

7.56

+0.19 · +2.58%

Regular session14:35 ET

Open7.37Volume440,657Mkt cap$486.8MEPS-0.51

Day7.35 – 7.6375%52-wk3.86 – 9.3168%

EOLS

Evolus, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±16.1%implied · straddle

6.188.56

spot 7.37exp Nov 20ATM strike 7.5ATM straddle 1.40IV 109%

Nov 3 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Today

after close

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+19.90%

vs ±27.1% implied · ×0.73

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

13F top-10 QoQ

+6.23%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

159 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

EOLS weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Evolus (EOLS) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±18.3%
avg realized: ±15.0%

Mar 4 '25Mar 4 '25confirmed±9.7%▼−1.25%×0.13

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±15.4%▼−14.20%×0.92

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±16.8%▼−28.51%×1.70

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±27.7%▲+5.43%×0.20

Jan 9 '26Jan 9 '26confirmed±12.8%▼−1.57%×0.12

Q1 FY26Mar 3 '26confirmed±20.2%▲+35.35%×1.75

May 4 '26May 4 '26confirmed±16.7%▲+14.16%×0.85

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±27.1%▲+19.90%×0.73

quarterimplied−40%0+40%realized×

Q2 FY26±27.1%▲+19.90%×0.73

May '26±16.7%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.01OI · 3 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

520%Nov 2016d5,0530%

1070%Jan 1572d0.017,7450%0.01

90%Apr 16163d0.002,3330%0.00

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d520%5,0530%0.01

Jan 1572d1070%7,7450%0.01

Apr 16163d90%2,3330%0.00

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±16.1%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−9.58%as filednet margin · revenue +14.97% QoQ · +21.18% YoY

Revenue$84M+14.97%

Gross profit$57M68.00%+16.94%

Operating income−$5M−5.40%+33.66%

Pre-tax income−$8M+21.23%

Net income−$8M−9.58%+24.56%

Cost of revenue$27M+10.99%

Operating expenses$62M+10.72%

Tax−$154,000−160.16%

Other expense−$4M−2.61%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 14:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.66· ±4.2% vs ±2.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±4.2%3 of 10×1.66

FOMCrate decision±2.7%11 of 24×1.07

CPROFcorporate profits±2.6%7 of 12×1.02

NFPjobs report±2.5%5 of 10×0.98

GDPgross domestic product±2.3%8 of 19×0.91

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%10 of 19×0.78

CPIconsumer prices±1.6%6 of 10×0.64

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.12 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 3 '26 · confirmed	-0.16	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	-0.24	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod