What move does the options market price into EOG Resources's report?

Implied ±13.6%, either direction · provisional.

How often does EOG Resources move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

EOGNYSECrude Petroleum & Natural Gas

EOG Resources Inc (EOG) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

165.57

+3.35 · +2.06%

post 165.75 +0.11%

Closed19:01 ET

Open164.89Volume2.6MMkt cap$86.8BP/E12.82EPS12.93Div yield2.46%

Day164.39 – 165.9985%52-wk98.46 – 165.93100%

EOG

EOG Resources Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±13.6%implied · straddle

143.06188.02

spot 165.54exp Mar 19ATM strike 165ATM straddle 26.45IV 33%

Oct 30 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 25

after close · in 117 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.24%

vs ±1.5% implied · ×0.16

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 8 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

12.10%

of ProPetro Holding revenue

supplierPUMP 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−0.25%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

1,642 managers

Top fund weight

4.15%

EOG weight · XLE

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

EOG Resources (EOG) is expected to report on Feb 25 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±2.5%
avg realized: ±2.0%

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±2.9%▲+0.39%×0.14

Jan 12 '26Jan 12 '26confirmed±2.5%▲+2.47%×1.01

Feb 24 '26Feb 24 '26confirmed±3.5%▼−0.97%×0.28

Q1 FY26Apr 9 '26confirmed±1.4%▼−0.29%×0.21

May 5 '26May 5 '26confirmed±3.2%▼−4.35%×1.35

Q2 FY26Jul 9 '26confirmed±1.6%▲+0.42%×0.26

Aug 4 '26Aug 4 '26confirmed±3.5%▼−6.47%×1.87

Oct 8 '26Oct 8 '26confirmed±1.5%▼−0.24%×0.16

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Oct '26±1.5%▼−0.24%×0.16

Aug '26±3.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 9 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.84OI · 9 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

5 nearer expiries

968+1%Nov 66d1.178300%1.17

382+35%Nov 1313d1.892020%1.89

4,132+1%Nov 2020d0.676,2070%0.67

62−2%Nov 2727d0.17364+75%0.17

4+33%Dec 434d0.2516+7%0.25

5,612−3%Dec 1848d0.876,4390%0.87

12,052+1%Jan 1576d0.6518,5530%0.65

report · Feb 25 · after close · est.

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

5 nearer expiries

Nov 66d968+1%8300%1.17

Nov 1313d382+35%2020%1.89

Nov 2020d4,132+1%6,207

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.6%

Funds 4

XLE±0.6%

SCHD±0.3%

JEPI±0.2%

VTV±0.0%

Suppliers 2

PUMP±15.0%×1.10

TTI±8.2%×0.60

Customers 1

EPM±9.5%×0.70

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

31.81%as filednet margin · revenue +24.27% QoQ · +56.30% YoY

Revenue

$8.6B+24.27% QoQ

United States of America $8.5B

Trinidad $127M

Other International $11M

Gross profit

$7.4B+28.49% QoQ

86.65% margin

Operating income

$3.5B+35.80% QoQ

41.21% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.5B+36.95% QoQ

Net income

$2.7B+37.58% QoQ

31.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+2.42% QoQ

Operating expenses

$3.9B+22.51% QoQ

Marketing $1.9B

Depreciation $1.3B

Other operating $431M

Other operating $251M

Other expense

$29M

Tax

$775M+34.78% QoQ

Revenue$8.6B+24.27%

United States of America $8.5B · Trinidad $127M

Gross profit

$7.4B+28.49%

86.65% margin

Operating income

$3.5B+35.80%

41.21% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.5B+36.95%

Net income

$2.7B+37.58%

31.81% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.1B+2.42%

Operating expenses

$3.9B+22.51%

Marketing $1.9B

Depreciation $1.3B

Other operating $431M

Other expense

$29M

Tax$775M+34.78%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.27· ±1.6% vs ±1.3% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±1.6%4 of 10×1.27

FOMCrate decision±1.5%12 of 25×1.21

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%6 of 11×1.14

PPIproducer prices±1.4%6 of 11×1.08

CPROFcorporate profits±1.1%5 of 12×0.84

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.0%7 of 20×0.78

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%9 of 20×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.3% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.3% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 5.15 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 9 '26 · confirmed	5.15	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 9 '26 · confirmed	3.70	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	2.70	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod