What move does the options market price into Darden Restaurants's report?

Implied ±5.0%, either direction.

How often does Darden Restaurants move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DRINYSERetail-Eating Places

Darden Restaurants Inc (DRI) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

224.37

+4.98 · +2.27%

Regular session09:45 ET

Open218.61Volume798,061Mkt cap$24.8BP/E21.80EPS10.29Div yield2.84%

Day218.61 – 224.38100%52-wk163.80 – 227.9194%

DRI

Darden Restaurants Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.0%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±4.6%·×1.09·fair

208.46230.32

straddle ±8.2%

spot 219.39exp Dec 18ATM strike 220ATM straddle 21.20IV 35%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Dec 17

before open · in 43 days

est.Q2 FY27

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−3.02%

vs ±6.3% implied · ×0.48

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Sep 24 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5dFCPT · supplierFour Corners Property Trust posts quarter net income available to common $28,849 thousand

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

−3.16%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

1,089 managers

Top fund weight

0.60%

DRI weight · SCHD

N-PORTAug 31 '26

10 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Darden Restaurants (DRI) is expected to report on Dec 17 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±5.4%
avg realized: ±4.6%

Dec 19 '24Dec 19 '24confirmed±5.4%▲+14.74%×2.71

Mar 20 '25Mar 20 '25confirmed±5.4%▲+5.77%×1.08

Jun 20 '25Jun 20 '25confirmed±4.7%▲+1.36%×0.29

Sep 18 '25Sep 18 '25confirmed±4.4%▼−7.69%×1.74

Q2 FY26Dec 18 '25confirmed±5.1%▲+1.77%×0.35

Q3 FY26Mar 19 '26confirmed±5.2%▲+1.85%×0.35

Q4 FY26Jun 25 '26confirmed±6.8%▼−0.32%×0.05

Q1 FY27Sep 24 '26confirmed±6.3%▼−3.02%×0.48

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q1 FY27±6.3%▼−3.02%×0.48

Q4 FY26±6.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.64OI · 5 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Dec 18 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,510+1%Nov 2016d0.602,522+1%0.60

report · Dec 17 · before open · est.

1,9310%Dec 1844d1,1800%

1,5650%Jan 1572d0.602,6160%0.60

1,1140%Mar 19135d2.384680%2.38

55+72%Apr 16163d0.252230%0.25

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d1,510+1%2,522+1%0.60

report · Dec 17 · before open · est.

Dec 1844d1,9310%1,1800%1.64

Jan 1572d1,5650%

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.2%

Funds 4

SCHD±0.0%

XLY±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

Suppliers 1

FCPT±1.5%×0.18

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY27

7.29%as filednet margin · revenue −13.94% QoQ · +5.11% YoY

Revenue

$3.2B−13.94% QoQ

Gross profit

$656M−24.26% QoQ

20.50% margin

Operating income

$319M−38.22% QoQ

9.98% margin

Pre-tax income

$269M−42.23% QoQ

Net income

$233M−42.36% QoQ

7.29% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.5B−10.81% QoQ

Operating expenses

$337M−3.61% QoQ

Depreciation $144M

SG&A $135M

Marketing $53M

Other operating $5M

Other expense

$50M

Tax

$35M−39.97% QoQ

Revenue$3.2B−13.94%

Gross profit

$656M−24.26%

20.50% margin

Operating income

$319M−38.22%

9.98% margin

Pre-tax income

$269M−42.23%

Net income

$233M−42.36%

7.29% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.5B−10.81%

Operating expenses

$337M−3.61%

Depreciation $144M

SG&A $135M

Marketing $53M

Other expense

$50M

Tax$35M−39.97%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Aug 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 09:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.32· ±1.5% vs ±1.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.5%5 of 10×1.32

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%5 of 10×1.17

NFPjobs report±1.1%7 of 10×0.96

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.1%10 of 19×0.92

GDPgross domestic product±0.9%10 of 19×0.80

FOMCrate decision±0.9%11 of 24×0.78

CPROFcorporate profits±0.6%4 of 12×0.48

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.04 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY27	Sep 24 '26 · confirmed	2.04	—
Q4 FY26	Jun 25 '26 · confirmed	3.51	—
Q3 FY26	Mar 19 '26 · confirmed	2.65	—
Q2 FY26	Dec 18 '25 · confirmed	2.03	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod