What move does the options market price into Ginkgo Bioworks's report?

Implied ±13.7%, either direction.

How often does Ginkgo Bioworks move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DNANYSEBiological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc. (DNA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

11.12

Closed18:38 ET

Open12.31Volume2.7MMkt cap$754.9MEPS-4.68

Day10.74 – 12.4922%52-wk5.37 – 18.2245%

DNA

Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±13.7%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±13.9%·×0.98·fair

9.6712.75

straddle ±20.9%

spot 11.21exp Nov 20ATM strike 11ATM straddle 2.75IV 130%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

after close · in 4 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−9.28%

vs ±17.3% implied · ×0.54

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

40dTWST · supplierTwist Bioscience (TWST) Expands AI Drug Discovery Exposure With Lilly TuneLab Partnership

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+8.49%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

182 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

DNA weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Ginkgo Bioworks (DNA) is expected to report on Nov 5 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±25.5%
avg realized: ±13.9%

Nov 12 '24Nov 12 '24confirmed±17.1%▲+2.50%×0.15

Feb 25 '25Feb 25 '25confirmed±76.9%▼−11.47%×0.15

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±21.1%▲+14.73%×0.70

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±15.0%▼−8.69%×0.58

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±18.3%▼−20.80%×1.13

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±21.2%▼−30.48%×1.44

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±16.8%▼−13.47%×0.80

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±17.3%▼−9.28%×0.54

quarterimplied−80%0+80%realized×

Q2 FY26±17.3%▼−9.28%×0.54

May '26±16.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.12OI · 4 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

702+5%Nov 2019d5,918+1%

3,9720%Dec 1847d0.1041,6150%0.10

8930%Jan 1575d0.136,9910%0.13

147+28%Mar 19138d0.207390%0.20

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d702+5%5,918+1%0.12

Dec 1847d3,9720%41,6150%0.10

Jan 1575d8930%6,9910%0.13

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±20.9%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Suppliers 1

TWST±8.1%×0.39

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

−231.74%as filednet margin · revenue +3.50% QoQ · −48.49% YoY

Revenue$20M+3.50%

Gross profit$18M91.47%+12.59%

Operating income−$59M−290.47%+17.97%

Pre-tax income−$57M+24.88%

Net income−$47M−231.74%+43.44%

Cost of revenue$2M−44.51%

Operating expenses$77M−12.27%

Tax$128,000+260.00%

Other income$1M+128.44%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 18:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.29· ±6.2% vs ±4.8% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±6.2%5 of 10×1.29

PCEpersonal income & outlays±4.8%10 of 19×1.00

GDPgross domestic product±4.8%8 of 19×0.99

NFPjobs report±4.4%3 of 10×0.92

FOMCrate decision±4.0%12 of 24×0.83

CPROFcorporate profits±4.0%4 of 12×0.83

CPIconsumer prices±2.6%4 of 10×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±7% · tick = ±4.8% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±4.8% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -0.75 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.75	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	-1.39	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	-1.45	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod