What move does the options market price into Diebold Nixdorf's report?

Implied ±15.8%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Diebold Nixdorf move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

DBDNYSECalculating & Accounting Machines (No Electronic Computers)

Diebold Nixdorf, Inc (DBD) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

55.40

−3.74 · −6.33%

post 55.40 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open59.01Volume739,957Mkt cap$1.8BP/E26.13EPS2.12

Day53.54 – 59.0134%52-wk52.87 – 92.096%

DBD

Diebold Nixdorf, Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±15.8%implied · straddle

46.3463.76

spot 55.05exp Feb 19ATM strike 55ATM straddle 10.25IV 42%

Oct 30 closeprovisionalthin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 11

before open · in 102 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−12.91%

vs ±9.2% implied · ×1.40

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Oct 28 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

40dACIW · customerACI Worldwide Expands Connetic Payments Hub to Support Swift’s Blockchain Ledger

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+12.10%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

215 managers

Top fund weight

0.06%

DBD weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Diebold Nixdorf (DBD) is expected to report on Feb 11 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±9.2%
avg realized: ±8.5%

Feb 12 '25Feb 12 '25confirmed±9.8%▲+5.36%×0.55

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±9.6%▼−2.76%×0.29

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±8.5%▲+5.78%×0.68

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±9.1%▲+12.45%×1.37

Feb 12 '26Feb 12 '26confirmed±8.1%▲+4.46%×0.55

Q1 FY26Apr 30 '26confirmed±10.1%▼−7.41%×0.73

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±9.2%▼−17.17%×1.87

Q3 FY26Oct 28 '26confirmed±9.2%▼−12.91%×1.40

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q3 FY26±9.2%▼−12.91%×1.40

Q2 FY26±9.2%▼−17.17%×1.87

Q1 FY26±10.1%▼−7.41%×0.73

Feb '26±8.1%▲+4.46%×0.55

Nov '25±9.1%▲+12.45%×1.37

Aug '25±8.5%▲+5.78%×0.68

2 older reports

May '25±9.6%▼−2.76%×0.29

Feb '25±9.8%▲+5.36%×0.55

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 close

4.11OI · 4 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Feb 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

335+3%Nov 2019d0.54616+150%0.54

0—Dec 1847d0.00960%0.00

300%Jan 1575d0.25118−1%0.25

report · Feb 11 · before open · est.

370%Feb 19110d90%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d335+3%616+150%0.54

Dec 1847d0—960%0.00

Jan 1575d300%118−1%0.25

report · Feb 11 · before open · est.

Feb 19110d370%90%4.11

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±15.8%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Customers 1

ACIW±4.0%×0.25

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 499dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

0.71%as filednet margin · revenue +6.82% QoQ · +5.19% YoY

Revenue

$994M+6.82% QoQ

Gross profit

$247M+3.17% QoQ

24.86% margin

Operating income

$39M−32.40% QoQ

3.90% margin

Pre-tax income

$15M−57.85% QoQ

Net income

$7M−56.17% QoQ

0.71% margin

Cost of revenue

$747M+8.09% QoQ

Operating expenses

$208M+14.38% QoQ

SG&A $172M

R&D $20M

Other operating $16M

Other expense

$24M

Tax

$6M−70.83% QoQ

Revenue$994M+6.82%

Gross profit

$247M+3.17%

24.86% margin

Operating income

$39M−32.40%

3.90% margin

Pre-tax income

$15M−57.85%

Net income

$7M−56.17%

0.71% margin

Cost of revenue

$747M+8.09%

Operating expenses

$208M+14.38%

SG&A $172M

R&D $20M

Other operating $16M

Other expense

$24M

Tax$6M−70.83%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.60· ±2.8% vs ±1.7% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±2.8%8 of 24×1.60

GDPgross domestic product±2.2%11 of 19×1.25

CPROFcorporate profits±2.1%9 of 12×1.24

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.9%10 of 19×1.11

PPIproducer prices±1.6%3 of 10×0.93

CPIconsumer prices±1.5%6 of 10×0.89

NFPjobs report±0.8%5 of 10×0.48

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.19 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Oct 28 '26 · confirmed	0.19	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	0.44	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 30 '26 · confirmed	0.14	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod