What move does the options market price into Contango Silver & Gold's report?

Implied ±8.7%, either direction.

How often does Contango Silver & Gold move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 5 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CTGONYSEGold and Silver Ores

Contango Silver & Gold Inc. (CTGO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

15.25

Closed17:24 ET

Open14.32Volume368,152Mkt cap$509.0MEPS-2.87

Day14.32 – 15.25100%52-wk13.45 – 34.389%

CTGO

Contango Silver & Gold Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±8.7%implied · straddle

13.9016.54

spot 15.22exp Nov 20ATM strike 15ATM straddle 1.55IV 61%

Nov 4 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 12

after close · in 7 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−2.08%

vs ±9.4% implied · ×0.22

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 14 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

—

Supply chain

13F top-10 QoQ

+64.97%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

119 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

CTGO weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Contango Silver & Gold (CTGO) is expected to report on Nov 12 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 5≥ implied

avg implied: ±11.1%
avg realized: ±4.7%

Nov 14 '24Nov 14 '24confirmed—▼−0.83%—

Mar 17 '25Mar 17 '25confirmed—▲+12.33%—

May 14 '25May 14 '25confirmed—▲+16.73%—

Aug 13 '25Aug 13 '25confirmed±9.0%▲+1.80%×0.20

Q3 FY25Nov 13 '25confirmed±10.9%▼−5.52%×0.51

Q1 FY26Mar 16 '26confirmed±11.6%▼−6.51%×0.56

May 15 '26May 15 '26confirmed±14.5%▼−7.66%×0.53

Q2 FY26Aug 14 '26confirmed±9.4%▼−2.08%×0.22

quarterimplied−20%0+20%realized×

Q2 FY26±9.4%▼−2.08%×0.22

May '26±14.5%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 close

3.88OI · 3 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,1840%Nov 2015d305−4%

2,2000%Jan 1571d0.862,5600%0.86

605+2%Apr 16162d0.391,562+3%0.39

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2015d1,1840%305−4%3.88

Jan 1571d2,2000%2,5600%0.86

Apr 16162d605+2%1,562+3%0.39

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.7%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

Q4 FY23 · derived from FY

−1043.91%Q4 FY23 · derived from FYnet margin · revenue +200.00% QoQ

Revenue$3M+200.00%

Gross profit$3M100.00%+200.00%

Operating income$5M183.54%+152.03%

Pre-tax income−$28M−116.37%

Net income−$28M−1043.91%−116.37%

Operating expenses$607,044−84.85%

Other expense−$15M−333.67%

Derived: FY − Q1–Q3 · QE Dec 31 '23 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 17:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.65· ±5.0% vs ±3.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±5.0%4 of 10×1.65

NFPjobs report±4.2%5 of 10×1.37

FOMCrate decision±3.0%8 of 24×0.99

CPIconsumer prices±2.9%4 of 10×0.94

GDPgross domestic product±2.8%10 of 19×0.91

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.5%12 of 19×0.82

CPROFcorporate profits±2.1%7 of 12×0.67

Bar = avg |move| to ±6% · tick = ±3.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±3.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.14 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 14 '26 · confirmed	0.14	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 16 '26 · confirmed	-0.83	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 13 '25 · confirmed	-0.44	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod