What move does the options market price into Cricut's report?

Implied ±36.9%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Cricut move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 6 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CRCTNasdaqSpecial Industry Machinery, NEC

Cricut, Inc. (CRCT) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

8.95

+0.07 · +0.79%

Regular session11:24 ET

Open8.90Volume7.6MMkt cap$1.8BP/E19.89EPS0.45Div yield2.25%

Day8.85 – 9.3520%52-wk3.65 – 9.1097%

CRCT

Cricut, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±36.9%implied · straddle

5.6112.15

spot 8.88exp Mar 19ATM strike 10ATM straddle 3.85IV 84%

Nov 4 closeprovisionalthin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Mar 2

after close · in 117 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+48.74%

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

11hAMZN · supplierKyndryl Uses Agentic AI to Accelerate Enterprise Modernization with AWS
2dTGT · customerBaked by Melissa enters Target with first at-home cupcake mix

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+14.88%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26128d lag

154 managers

Top fund weight

0.01%

CRCT weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Cricut (CRCT) is expected to report on Mar 2 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 6≥ implied

avg implied: ±38.2%
avg realized: ±10.4%

Mar 4 '25Mar 4 '25confirmed±14.2%▲+4.22%×0.30

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±69.1%▲+20.31%×0.29

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed—▲+16.91%—

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±30.0%▼−5.19%×0.17

Q1 FY26Mar 3 '26confirmed±16.2%▲+4.63%×0.29

May 5 '26May 5 '26confirmed±17.8%▲+5.21%×0.29

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±82.0%▲+22.87%×0.28

Q3 FY26Nov 3 '26confirmed—▲+48.74%—

quarterimplied−85%0+85%realized×

Q3 FY26—▲+48.74%—

Q2 FY26±82.0%+22.87%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 close

0.67OI · 2 expiries · Nov 4 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

370%Dec 1843d0.142600%0.14

report · Mar 2 · after close · est.

1180%Mar 19134d1750%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Dec 1843d370%2600%0.14

report · Mar 2 · after close · est.

Mar 19134d1180%1750%0.67

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±36.9%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Customers 1

TGT±7.2%×0.19

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

14.76%as filednet margin · revenue +20.69% QoQ · +10.67% YoY

Revenue

$189M+20.69% QoQ

Gross profit

$109M−6.47% QoQ

57.72% margin

Operating income

$34M−28.53% QoQ

17.97% margin

Pre-tax income

$36M−27.71% QoQ

Net income

$28M−28.71% QoQ

14.76% margin

Cost of revenue

$80M+99.97% QoQ

Operating expenses

$75M+8.70% QoQ

Marketing $41M

R&D $17M

SG&A $17M

Tax

$9M−24.25% QoQ

Other income

$2M−14.23% QoQ

Revenue$189M+20.69%

Gross profit

$109M−6.47%

57.72% margin

Operating income

$34M−28.53%

17.97% margin

Pre-tax income

$36M−27.71%

Net income

$28M−28.71%

14.76% margin

Cost of revenue

$80M+99.97%

Operating expenses

$75M+8.70%

Marketing $41M

R&D $17M

SG&A $17M

Other income$2M−14.23%

Tax$9M−24.25%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 4 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 11:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.39· ±3.0% vs ±2.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.0%5 of 10×1.39

FOMCrate decision±2.6%10 of 24×1.21

CPROFcorporate profits±2.0%1 of 12×0.95

GDPgross domestic product±1.9%4 of 19×0.89

NFPjobs report±1.5%4 of 10×0.69

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.2%5 of 19×0.54

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%6 of 10×0.50

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±2.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.13 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 3 '26 · confirmed	0.13	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	0.19	—
Q1 FY26	Mar 3 '26 · confirmed	0.10	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	0.10	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod