What move does the options market price into Cinemark's report?

Implied ±16.2%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Cinemark move more than the options market prices?

1 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

CNKNYSEServices-Motion Picture Theaters

Cinemark Holdings, Inc. (CNK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

38.83

+0.08 · +0.21%

post 38.55 −0.74%

Closed15:59 ET

Open37.25Volume3.3MMkt cap$4.5BP/E15.39Div yield0.93%

Day37.25 – 40.9835%52-wk21.41 – 40.5390%

CNK

Cinemark Holdings, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±16.2%implied · straddle

32.2644.76

spot 38.51exp Mar 19ATM strike 39ATM straddle 7.35IV 39%

Nov 3 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 17

before open · in 105 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−0.62%

vs ±9.0% implied · ×0.07

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

3.60%

of SITE Centers revenue

supplierSITC 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+14.07%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

310 managers

Top fund weight

0.10%

CNK weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Cinemark (CNK) is expected to report on Feb 17 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

1 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±7.3%
avg realized: ±4.8%

Feb 19 '25Feb 19 '25confirmed±5.3%▼−13.58%×2.58

May 2 '25May 2 '25confirmed±4.2%▲+1.37%×0.32

Nov 5 '25Nov 5 '25confirmed±10.6%▲+7.63%×0.72

Jan 6 '26Jan 6 '26confirmed±6.1%▼−0.92%×0.15

Feb 18 '26Feb 18 '26confirmed±6.7%▲+4.14%×0.62

Q1 FY26May 1 '26confirmed±7.5%▼−6.44%×0.86

Q2 FY26Jul 30 '26confirmed±8.8%▲+3.61%×0.41

Q3 FY26Nov 3 '26confirmed±9.0%▼−0.62%×0.07

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q3 FY26±9.0%▼−0.62%×0.07

Q2 FY26±8.8%▲+3.61%×0.41

Q1 FY26±7.5%▼−6.44%×0.86

Feb '26±6.7%▲+4.14%×0.62

Jan '26±6.1%▼−0.92%×0.15

Nov '25±10.6%▲+7.63%×0.72

2 older reports

May '25±4.2%▲+1.37%×0.32

Feb '25±5.3%▼−13.58%×2.58

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.12OI · 4 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

2,564−3%Nov 2016d1.002,5760%1.00

486+1%Dec 1844d0.50969+1%0.50

1,875+1%Jan 1572d0.523,638+1%0.52

report · Feb 17 · before open · est.

920%Mar 19135d747+51%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d2,564−3%2,5760%1.00

Dec 1844d486+1%969+1%0.50

Jan 1572d1,875+1%3,638+1%0.52

report · Feb 17 · before open · est.

Mar 19135d920%747+51%0.12

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±16.2%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

23.50%as filednet margin · revenue −2.51% QoQ · +23.51% YoY

Revenue$1.1B−2.51%

Gross profit$827M78.08%−3.08%

Operating income$00.00%—

Pre-tax income$350M−14.11%

Net income$249M23.50%−11.89%

Cost of revenue$232M−0.43%

Operating expenses$572M+3.53%

Tax$101M−19.14%

Other expense−$31M+2.56%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 15:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

CPI ×1.30· ±2.2% vs ±1.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

CPIconsumer prices±2.2%4 of 10×1.30

PPIproducer prices±1.9%8 of 10×1.12

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.7%9 of 19×1.03

FOMCrate decision±1.5%16 of 24×0.91

CPROFcorporate profits±1.3%4 of 12×0.79

GDPgross domestic product±1.2%8 of 19×0.71

NFPjobs report±1.0%3 of 10×0.61

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.08 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 3 '26 · confirmed	2.08	—
Q2 FY26	Jul 30 '26 · confirmed	2.38	—
Q1 FY26	May 1 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod