CAKE
CHEESECAKE FACTORY INC106.20post+$0.37 (+0.35%)at close +$0.00 (+0.00%)
as of 08:00:00 UTCnext report Nov 5 · 92d
Earnings Room‹ back to CAKE
The report
fiscal Q3 2026 · from the company's noticeNov 5after close92days out
Expected movement
market-implied · at the Aug 4 close±16.9%is what the chain prices between now and the expiry below. Not a view we hold.
That span is 164days, so it covers the report plus the ordinary movement around it. The chain doesn't yet quote a second expiry we can separate the two with; the range narrows onto the report as it approaches.
expiry Jan 15 · first after the reportATM strike 105straddle 21.10ATM IV 38%× 0.85 straddle-to-rangespot 106.20
Blast radius
2 linked · N-PORT + EDGARIf CAKE moves ±16.9% over this report, these carry part of it. Fund rows are arithmetic on published holding weights — what an index fund does by construction. Company rows are ranked by disclosed tie strength.
Positioning
4 expiries · as of the Aug 3 closeContracts already committed, not just traded today — puts against calls, sized by expiry. The tick is today's volume moving against that stance; the arrow, how much built up since the prior session.
OI ΔPutsOI
ExpiryOICallsOI Δ
▲ +0%3.1k
Aug 21
18d
2.8k▲ +0%
▲ +29%336
Sep 18
46d
338▲ +14%
▲ +6%2.1k
Oct 16
74d
1.9k▲ +6%
▲ +1%1.4k
Jan 15
165d
1.8k▲ +1%
The record
expected in pale · actual in full color2/8reports moved further than the options market had pricedtypically ±5.4% realized vs ±8.1% priced
Jul 28 '26±8.4%→+13.6%×1.63
Apr 29 '26±10.2%→+0.3%×0.03
Feb 18 '26±6.4%→−2.6%×0.40
Oct 28 '25±9.5%→−7.3%×0.76
Jul 29 '25±7.6%→+5.2%×0.69
Apr 30 '25±8.3%→−4.4%×0.53
Feb 19 '25±7.0%→+1.3%×0.18
Oct 29 '24±7.1%→+8.8%×1.25
pale = implied the day beforeink = the next day's close× = realized ÷ implied
2-quarter memory
Q2 FY26 · reported 1.41 · rev $1.0B
record note
The note composes when the report lands. Nothing is written for a quarter that hasn't been read.