What move does the options market price into Bloomin' Brands's report?

Implied ±9.9%, either direction.

How often does Bloomin' Brands move more than the options market prices?

5 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

BLMNNasdaqRetail-Eating Places

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

10.25

pre 10.34 +1.08%

Pre-market06:15 ETdelayed

Open10.34Volume1.9MMkt cap$875.9MP/E32.31EPS0.32

Day10.34 – 10.3450%52-wk5.19 – 12.6369%

BLMN

Bloomin' Brands, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±9.9%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±19.2%·×0.51·cheap

9.2211.24

straddle ±13.1%

spot 10.23exp Nov 20ATM strike 10ATM straddle 1.58IV 90%

Nov 3 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

before open · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+32.85%

vs ±15.1% implied · ×2.17

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−2.08%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

238 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

BLMN weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) is expected to report on Nov 5 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

5 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.4%
avg realized: ±19.2%

Nov 8 '24Nov 8 '24confirmed±9.5%▼−9.71%×1.02

Feb 26 '25Feb 26 '25confirmed±16.7%▼−16.81%×1.01

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±12.1%▼−8.45%×0.70

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±15.5%▼−30.67%×1.98

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±15.9%▼−11.48%×0.72

Q1 FY26Feb 25 '26confirmed±15.4%▼−2.73%×0.18

May 6 '26May 6 '26confirmed±14.8%▲+40.97%×2.77

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±15.1%▲+32.85%×2.17

quarterimplied−45%0+45%realized×

Q2 FY26±15.1%▲+32.85%×2.17

May '26±14.8%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.11OI · 4 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

473−1%Nov 2016d4,352+2%

840%Dec 1844d0.20430+1%0.20

5,6200%Jan 1572d0.658,6600%0.65

2,0720%Apr 16163d7.32283+12%7.32

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d473−1%4,352+2%0.11

Dec 1844d840%430+1%0.20

Jan 1572d5,6200%8,6600%0.65

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.1%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

3.21%as filednet margin · revenue −4.14% QoQ · +1.34% YoY

Revenue

$1.0B−4.14% QoQ

Gross profit

$397M−6.00% QoQ

39.06% margin

Operating income

$38M−35.26% QoQ

3.77% margin

Pre-tax income

$27M−41.91% QoQ

Net income

$33M−43.08% QoQ

3.21% margin

Cost of revenue

$619M−2.91% QoQ

Operating expenses

$358M−1.23% QoQ

SG&A $308M

Depreciation $46M

Other operating $4M

Other expense

$11M

Tax benefit

$7M

Revenue$1.0B−4.14%

Gross profit

$397M−6.00%

39.06% margin

Operating income

$38M−35.26%

3.77% margin

Pre-tax income

$27M−41.91%

Net income

$33M−43.08%

3.21% margin

Cost of revenue

$619M−2.91%

Operating expenses

$358M−1.23%

SG&A $308M

Depreciation $46M

Other operating $4M

Other expense

$11M

Tax benefit$7M

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 28 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

No trades yet today.

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.34· ±3.6% vs ±2.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±3.6%5 of 10×1.34

FOMCrate decision±2.3%13 of 24×0.85

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.1%10 of 19×0.79

NFPjobs report±1.9%6 of 10×0.72

CPIconsumer prices±1.8%3 of 10×0.67

CPROFcorporate profits±1.6%8 of 12×0.60

GDPgross domestic product±1.4%14 of 19×0.54

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.36 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	0.36	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 25 '26 · confirmed	0.65	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	-0.54	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod