What move does the options market price into Arko's report?

Implied ±33.2%, either direction.

How often does Arko move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ARKONasdaqRetail-Convenience Stores

Arko Corp. (ARKO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

4.10

+0.26 · +6.77%

Regular session11:39 ET

Open4.11Volume673,971Mkt cap$430.8MP/E51.25EPS0.08Div yield3.13%

Day3.98 – 4.1380%52-wk3.61 – 8.7010%

ARKO

Arko Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±33.2%implied · straddle

2.575.11

spot 3.84exp Nov 20ATM strike 5ATM straddle 1.50IV 105%

Nov 3 close

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Today

after close

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−22.36%

vs ±11.7% implied · ×1.91

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 7 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

12.00%

of Getty Realty revenue

supplierGTY 10-K

Supply chain

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+13.25%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26127d lag

151 managers

Top fund weight

0.02%

ARKO weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

3 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Arko (ARKO) is expected to report on Nov 4 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±16.7%
avg realized: ±12.1%

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±16.4%▲+7.19%×0.44

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±19.9%▲+13.53%×0.68

Q3 FY25Nov 5 '25confirmed±19.9%▼−12.09%×0.61

Feb 3 '26Feb 3 '26confirmed±17.5%▲+11.79%×0.67

Q1 FY26Feb 25 '26confirmed±19.6%▲+4.56%×0.23

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±16.8%▲+2.91%×0.17

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±11.7%▼−22.36%×1.91

Aug 7 '26Aug 7 '26confirmed±11.7%▼−22.36%×1.91

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Aug '26±11.7%▼−22.36%×1.91

Q2 FY26±11.7%▼−22.36%×1.91

May '26±16.8%▲+2.91%×0.17

Q1 FY26±19.6%▲+4.56%×0.23

Feb '26±17.5%▲+11.79%×0.67

Q3 FY25±19.9%▼−12.09%×0.61

2 older reports

Aug '25±19.9%▲+13.53%×0.68

May '25±16.4%▲+7.19%×0.44

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 close

0.76OI · 2 expiries · Nov 3 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

6120%Nov 2016d806+2%

290%Feb 19107d0.211350%0.21

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2016d6120%806+2%0.76

Feb 19107d290%1350%0.21

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±33.2%

Funds 3

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

0.40%as filednet margin · revenue +32.43% QoQ · +17.39% YoY

Revenue

$2.3B+32.43% QoQ

Gross profit

$525M+11.34% QoQ

22.35% margin

Operating income

$30M+202.68% QoQ

1.29% margin

Pre-tax income

$16M+301.89% QoQ

Net income

$9M+268.64% QoQ

0.40% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.8B+40.07% QoQ

Operating expenses

$494M+7.18% QoQ

Other operating $418M

SG&A $44M

Depreciation $32M

Other expense

$14M

Tax

$7M+378.00% QoQ

Revenue$2.3B+32.43%

Gross profit

$525M+11.34%

22.35% margin

Operating income

$30M+202.68%

1.29% margin

Pre-tax income

$16M+301.89%

Net income

$9M+268.64%

0.40% margin

Cost of revenue

$1.8B+40.07%

Operating expenses

$494M+7.18%

Other operating $418M

SG&A $44M

Depreciation $32M

Other expense

$14M

Tax$7M+378.00%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 3 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 11:30 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.80· ±4.0% vs ±2.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.0%5 of 10×1.80

GDPgross domestic product±3.9%5 of 19×1.74

FOMCrate decision±2.8%9 of 24×1.27

CPIconsumer prices±2.3%5 of 10×1.03

PPIproducer prices±2.2%9 of 10×1.00

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.5%6 of 19×0.69

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%3 of 12×0.65

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.04 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	0.04	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 25 '26 · confirmed	-0.07	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 5 '25 · confirmed	0.10	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod