What move does the options market price into AdaptHealth's report?

Implied ±22.4%, either direction · provisional.

How often does AdaptHealth move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

AHCONasdaqServices-Home Health Care Services

AdaptHealth Corp. (AHCO) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

7.34

−0.07 · −0.94%

post 7.34 0.00%

After hours16:00 ETdelayed

Open7.41Volume2.3MMkt cap$1.0BEPS-2.98

Day7.15 – 7.4759%52-wk5.21 – 13.4326%

AHCO

AdaptHealth Corp.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±22.4%implied · straddle

5.749.06

spot 7.40exp Mar 19ATM strike 7.5ATM straddle 1.95IV 55%

Nov 6 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 23

before open · in 109 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+6.26%

vs ±20.9% implied · ×0.30

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Nov 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Largest filed tie

filed ties

13F top-10 QoQ

−1.05%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26129d lag

238 managers

Top fund weight

0.03%

AHCO weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

AdaptHealth (AHCO) is expected to report on Feb 23 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±14.6%
avg realized: ±15.3%

Feb 25 '25Feb 25 '25confirmed±14.8%▲+24.44%×1.65

May 6 '25May 6 '25confirmed±16.4%▲+1.72%×0.10

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±12.4%▲+10.98%×0.88

Nov 4 '25Nov 4 '25confirmed±14.7%▲+17.38%×1.18

Feb 24 '26Feb 24 '26confirmed±12.4%▼−13.95%×1.13

Q1 FY26May 5 '26confirmed±11.7%▼−9.89%×0.84

Q2 FY26Aug 4 '26confirmed±13.5%▼−38.04%×2.83

Q3 FY26Nov 3 '26confirmed±20.9%▲+6.26%×0.30

quarterimplied−40%0+40%realized×

Q3 FY26±20.9%▲+6.26%×0.30

Q2 FY26±13.5%▼−38.04%×2.83

Q1 FY26±11.7%▼−9.89%×0.84

Feb '26±12.4%▼−13.95%×1.13

Nov '25±14.7%▲+17.38%×1.18

Aug '25±12.4%▲+10.98%×0.88

2 older reports

May '25±16.4%▲+1.72%×0.10

Feb '25±14.8%▲+24.44%×1.65

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 4 expiries · Nov 5 close

0.10OI · 4 expiries · Nov 5 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

14—Nov 2014d0.08179—0.08

2340%Dec 1842d0.43542+10%0.43

3420%Jan 1570d0.113,0090%0.11

report · Feb 23 · before open · est.

292+17%Mar 19133d2,9950%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2014d14—179—0.08

Dec 1842d2340%542+10%0.43

Jan 1570d3420%3,0090%0.11

report · Feb 23 · before open · est.

Mar 19133d292+17%2,9950%0.10

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±22.4%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Dashed = straddleMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ3 FY26

−20.49%as filednet margin · revenue +0.72% QoQ · −9.10% YoY

Revenue$746M+0.72%

Gross profit$115M15.40%+10.17%

Operating income−$156M−20.91%−13.15%

Pre-tax income−$185M−11.60%

Net income−$153M−20.49%−15.10%

Cost of revenue$631M−0.83%

Operating expenses$271M+11.87%

Tax−$17M+17.59%

Other expense−$29M−3.88%

Source: SEC filings · standardized · QE Sep 30 '26 · bars = % of revenue

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 6 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

FOMC ×1.23· ±3.0% vs ±2.5% · 24 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

FOMCrate decision±3.0%8 of 24×1.23

PPIproducer prices±2.1%7 of 10×0.87

NFPjobs report±1.9%4 of 10×0.78

GDPgross domestic product±1.8%9 of 19×0.72

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.6%11 of 19×0.66

CPROFcorporate profits±1.4%5 of 12×0.56

CPIconsumer prices±1.2%7 of 10×0.51

Bar = avg |move| to ±4% · tick = ±2.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS -1.13 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q3 FY26	Nov 3 '26 · confirmed	-1.13	—
Q2 FY26	Aug 4 '26 · confirmed	-0.99	—
Q1 FY26	May 5 '26 · confirmed	-0.12	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod