What move does the options market price into Adeia's report?

Implied ±28.9%, either direction · provisional.

How often does Adeia move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ADEANasdaqCable & Other Pay Television Services

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

20.62

pre 16.06 −22.30%

Pre-market04:27 ETdelayed

Open15.81Volume2.2MMkt cap$2.4BP/E19.34Div yield0.97%

Day15.81 – 16.06100%52-wk11.49 – 34.2120%

ADEA

Adeia Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±28.9%implied · straddle

14.7026.64

spot 20.67exp Mar 19ATM strike 20ATM straddle 7.02IV 72%

Nov 2 closeprovisional

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Feb 22

after close · in 111 days

est.Q4 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

Nov 2

after close

confirmedOct 30 close

Implied vs realized

Linked news

12hROKU · customerRoku posts net income of $183,339 thousand on revenue of $1,502,022 thousand
16hAMZN · customerBetterInvesting™ Magazine Update on Amazon.com and UnitedHealth Group
21hVOD · customerVodafone discloses total voting rights of 23,168,639,889

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+10.29%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26126d lag

301 managers

Top fund weight

0.11%

ADEA weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Adeia (ADEA) is expected to report on Feb 22 after close (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.2%
avg realized: ±13.7%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±16.9%▼−18.24%×1.08

Feb 18 '25Feb 18 '25confirmed±8.0%▲+21.68%×2.72

May 5 '25May 5 '25confirmed±8.9%▲+7.13%×0.80

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±14.0%▲+10.33%×0.74

Q3 FY25Nov 3 '25confirmed±15.2%▼−16.08%×1.06

Feb 23 '26Feb 23 '26confirmed±10.2%▲+6.87%×0.68

Q1 FY26May 4 '26confirmed±9.3%▼−17.26%×1.85

Aug 3 '26Aug 3 '26confirmed±14.9%▲+12.31%×0.83

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Aug '26±14.9%▲+12.31%×0.83

Q1 FY26±9.3%▼−17.26%×1.85

Feb '26±10.2%▲+6.87%×0.68

Q3 FY25±15.2%▼−16.08%×1.06

Aug '25±14.0%▲+10.33%×0.74

May '25±8.9%▲+7.13%×0.80

2 older reports

Feb '25±8.0%▲+21.68%×2.72

Nov '24±16.9%▼−18.24%×1.08

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 close

0.09OI · 3 expiries · Nov 2 closeP/C open interest · Mar 19 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

757−1%Nov 2017d0.441,709−1%0.44

1,4430%Dec 1845d0.159,310+2%0.15

report · Feb 22 · after close · est.

101+11%Mar 19136d1,090+1%

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2017d757−1%1,709−1%0.44

Dec 1845d1,4430%9,310+2%0.15

report · Feb 22 · after close · est.

Mar 19136d101+11%1,090+1%0.09

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±28.9%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Customers 4

MU±14.9%×0.51

ROKU±7.4%×0.26

AMZN±4.8%×0.17

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY26

21.74%as filednet margin · revenue −42.64% QoQ · +19.51% YoY

Revenue

$105M−42.64% QoQ

Gross profit

$105M−42.64% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$35M−67.97% QoQ

33.25% margin

Pre-tax income

$28M−72.29% QoQ

Net income

$23M−69.11% QoQ

21.74% margin

Operating expenses

$70M−5.34% QoQ

SG&A $30M

R&D $18M

Other operating $22M

Other expense

$7M

Tax

$5M−80.90% QoQ

Revenue$105M−42.64%

Gross profit

$105M−42.64%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$35M−67.97%

33.25% margin

Pre-tax income

$28M−72.29%

Net income

$23M−69.11%

21.74% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$70M−5.34%

SG&A $30M

R&D $18M

Other operating $22M

Other expense

$7M

Tax$5M−80.90%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Mar 31 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Nov 2 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 04:15 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.05· ±4.4% vs ±2.2% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.4%5 of 10×2.05

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.2%8 of 20×1.03

GDPgross domestic product±2.1%10 of 20×0.97

CPROFcorporate profits±1.9%6 of 12×0.88

CPIconsumer prices±1.9%7 of 11×0.86

FOMCrate decision±1.6%12 of 24×0.76

PPIproducer prices±1.6%6 of 11×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.2% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.2% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.20 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY26	May 4 '26 · confirmed	0.20	—
Q4 FY25	—	0.66	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 3 '25 · confirmed	0.08	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod