What move does the options market price into Adeia's report?

Implied ±10.6%, either direction.

How often does Adeia move more than the options market prices?

4 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ADEANasdaqCable & Other Pay Television Services

Adeia Inc. (ADEA) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

21.43

−1.05 · −4.66%

post 21.43 +0.01%

Closed16:00 ET

Open21.80Volume1.4MMkt cap$2.4BP/E19.14EPS1.12Div yield0.93%

Day20.80 – 21.8362%52-wk11.49 – 34.2144%

ADEA

Adeia Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±10.6%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±13.7%·×0.77·cheap

19.1723.71

straddle ±13.3%

spot 21.44exp Nov 20ATM strike 22.5ATM straddle 3.35IV 77%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 2

before open · in 1 day

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

+12.31%

vs ±14.9% implied · ×0.83

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 3 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

5hGOOGL · customerWhy AI is boosting Meta's ad business while hurting Google search
2dAMZN · customerAmazon falls 2%, Intel dives 29%, as tech stocks sell off in post-earnings rout
2dSONY · customerSony Group grants RSUs corresponding to up to 6,149,818 shares to 4,176 persons

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+10.29%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

301 managers

Top fund weight

0.11%

ADEA weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Adeia (ADEA) is expected to report on Nov 2 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

4 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±12.2%
avg realized: ±13.7%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±16.9%▼−18.24%×1.08

Feb 18 '25Feb 18 '25confirmed±8.0%▲+21.68%×2.72

May 5 '25May 5 '25confirmed±8.9%▲+7.13%×0.80

Aug 5 '25Aug 5 '25confirmed±14.0%▲+10.33%×0.74

Q3 FY25Nov 3 '25confirmed±15.2%▼−16.08%×1.06

Feb 23 '26Feb 23 '26confirmed±10.2%▲+6.87%×0.68

Q1 FY26May 4 '26confirmed±9.3%▼−17.26%×1.85

Aug 3 '26Aug 3 '26confirmed±14.9%▲+12.31%×0.83

quarterimplied−25%0+25%realized×

Aug '26±14.9%▲+12.31%×0.83

Q1 FY26±9.3%▼−17.26%×1.85

Feb '26±10.2%▲+6.87%×0.68

Q3 FY25±15.2%▼−16.08%×1.06

Aug '25±14.0%▲+10.33%×0.74

May '25±8.9%▲+7.13%×0.80

2 older reports

Feb '25±8.0%▲+21.68%×2.72

Nov '24±16.9%▼−18.24%×1.08

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 close

0.44OI · 3 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

7680%Nov 2019d1,729+1%

1,4430%Dec 1847d0.169,1040%0.16

910%Mar 19138d0.081,0820%0.08

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d7680%1,729+1%0.44

Dec 1847d1,4430%9,1040%0.16

Mar 19138d910%1,0820%0.08

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±13.3%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Customers 4

MU±6.8%×0.51

ROKU±3.4%×0.26

AMZN±2.2%×0.17

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ1 FY26

21.74%as filednet margin · revenue −42.64% QoQ · +19.51% YoY

Revenue

$105M−42.64% QoQ

Gross profit

$105M−42.64% QoQ

100.00% margin

Operating income

$35M−67.97% QoQ

33.25% margin

Pre-tax income

$28M−72.29% QoQ

Net income

$23M−69.11% QoQ

21.74% margin

Operating expenses

$70M−5.34% QoQ

SG&A $30M

R&D $18M

Other operating $22M

Other expense

$7M

Tax

$5M−80.90% QoQ

Revenue$105M−42.64%

Gross profit

$105M−42.64%

100.00% margin

Operating income

$35M−67.97%

33.25% margin

Pre-tax income

$28M−72.29%

Net income

$23M−69.11%

21.74% margin

Cost of revenue

Operating expenses

$70M−5.34%

SG&A $30M

R&D $18M

Other operating $22M

Other expense

$7M

Tax$5M−80.90%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Mar 31 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×2.07· ±4.4% vs ±2.1% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±4.4%5 of 10×2.07

PCEpersonal income & outlays±2.3%8 of 19×1.06

GDPgross domestic product±2.1%10 of 19×1.00

CPROFcorporate profits±1.9%6 of 12×0.89

PPIproducer prices±1.7%5 of 10×0.81

FOMCrate decision±1.7%12 of 24×0.78

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%7 of 10×0.65

Bar = avg |move| to ±5% · tick = ±2.1% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±2.1% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.20 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q1 FY26	May 4 '26 · confirmed	0.20	—
Q4 FY25	—	0.66	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 3 '25 · confirmed	0.08	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod