What move does the options market price into ACI Worldwide's report?

Implied ±6.0%, either direction.

How often does ACI Worldwide move more than the options market prices?

2 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

ACIWNasdaqServices-Prepackaged Software

ACI Worldwide, Inc. (ACIW) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

56.25

+0.55 · +0.98%

post 56.25 0.00%

Closed16:00 ET

Open55.63Volume596,880Mkt cap$5.7BP/E25.68EPS2.19

Day55.31 – 56.25100%52-wk38.05 – 61.0879%

ACIW

ACI Worldwide, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±6.0%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±6.6%·×0.90·fair

52.9759.71

straddle ±8.6%

spot 56.34exp Nov 20ATM strike 55ATM straddle 5.68IV 52%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structurethin chain

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 5

before open · in 4 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−4.45%

vs ±10.3% implied · ×0.43

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 6 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

4hCTSH · supplierCognizant zet meer dan 25.000 professionals in voor de implementatie van OpenAI-oplossingen nu ondernemingen geavanceerde AI in productie nemen
1dMSFT · supplierMicrosoft is winning the cloud wars and becoming Wall Street’s new golden child
1dAMZN · supplierAmazon falls 2%, Intel dives 29%, as tech stocks sell off in post-earnings rout

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+10.59%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

377 managers

Top fund weight

0.16%

ACIW weight · IWM

N-PORTJun 30 '26

4 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

ACI Worldwide (ACIW) is expected to report on Nov 5 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

2 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.3%
avg realized: ±6.6%

Nov 7 '24Nov 7 '24confirmed±7.3%▲+8.78%×1.21

Feb 27 '25Feb 27 '25confirmed±8.7%▲+7.69%×0.88

May 8 '25May 8 '25confirmed±6.5%▼−11.70%×1.81

Aug 7 '25Aug 7 '25confirmed±7.0%▲+3.77%×0.54

Q3 FY25Nov 6 '25confirmed±8.2%▲+4.95%×0.60

Q1 FY26Feb 26 '26confirmed±10.5%▼−4.05%×0.39

May 7 '26May 7 '26confirmed±8.0%▲+7.81%×0.97

Q2 FY26Aug 6 '26confirmed±10.3%▼−4.45%×0.43

quarterimplied−15%0+15%realized×

Q2 FY26±10.3%▼−4.45%×0.43

May '26±8.0%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 2 expiries · Oct 28 close

0.59OI · 2 expiries · Oct 28 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

169+7%Nov 2019d288+2%

450%Feb 19110d0.152920%0.15

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2019d169+7%288+2%0.59

Feb 19110d450%2920%0.15

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±8.6%

Funds 4

IWM±0.0%

UWM±0.0%

VTI±0.0%

VT±0.0%

Suppliers 4

CTSH±4.0%×0.47

IBM±3.9%×0.46

DBD±2.6%×0.31

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 501dMethod Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

7.39%as filednet margin · revenue +1.10% QoQ · +7.27% YoY

Revenue

$430M+1.10% QoQ

Gross profit

$182M−7.97% QoQ

42.18% margin

Operating income

$45M−22.34% QoQ

10.37% margin

Pre-tax income

$39M−22.81% QoQ

Net income

$32M−16.99% QoQ

7.39% margin

Cost of revenue

$249M+8.93% QoQ

Operating expenses

$137M−2.06% QoQ

R&D $48M

SG&A $34M

Marketing $31M

Other operating $24M

Other expense

$6M

Tax

$7M−41.19% QoQ

Revenue$430M+1.10%

Gross profit

$182M−7.97%

42.18% margin

Operating income

$45M−22.34%

10.37% margin

Pre-tax income

$39M−22.81%

Net income

$32M−16.99%

7.39% margin

Cost of revenue

$249M+8.93%

Operating expenses

$137M−2.06%

R&D $48M

SG&A $34M

Marketing $31M

Other expense

$6M

Tax$7M−41.19%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ downSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.36· ±2.1% vs ±1.5% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.1%6 of 10×1.36

FOMCrate decision±1.9%14 of 24×1.23

CPIconsumer prices±1.4%5 of 10×0.94

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%11 of 19×0.89

PPIproducer prices±1.3%6 of 10×0.88

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%12 of 19×0.87

CPROFcorporate profits±0.8%8 of 12×0.55

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.5% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.5% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 0.31 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 6 '26 · confirmed	0.31	—
Q1 FY26	Feb 26 '26 · confirmed	0.37	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 6 '25 · confirmed	0.88	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod