What move does the options market price into Uber Technologies's report?

Implied ±5.9%, either direction.

How often does Uber Technologies move more than the options market prices?

3 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

UBERNYSEServices-Business Services, NEC

Uber Technologies, Inc (UBER) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

65.34

Closed19:45 ET

Open65.35Volume18.0MMkt cap$133.3BP/E14.11EPS4.63

Day64.88 – 65.6163%52-wk64.04 – 100.354%

UBER

Uber Technologies, Inc

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±5.9%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±5.5%·×1.09·fair

61.3769.13

straddle ±6.8%

spot 65.25exp Nov 6ATM strike 65ATM straddle 5.25IV 73%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 3

before open · in 2 days

est.Q3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−5.29%

vs ±6.0% implied · ×0.88

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Aug 5 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

1dNBIS · supplierPress release Nebius Group announces date of third quarter 2026 results and conference call
2dCART · customerMaplebear to be acquired by DoorDash for $65.00 per share
3dEAT · customerBrinker posts net income $113.3 million, diluted EPS $2.64 for quarter

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+1.18%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26124d lag

2,442 managers

Top fund weight

2.55%

UBER weight · XLI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

11 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Uber Technologies (UBER) is expected to report on Nov 3 before open (estimated date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

3 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±6.2%
avg realized: ±5.5%

Oct 31 '24Oct 31 '24confirmed±5.8%▼−9.29%×1.61

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±7.2%▼−7.56%×1.05

May 7 '25May 7 '25confirmed±6.5%▼−2.54%×0.39

Aug 6 '25Aug 6 '25confirmed±6.0%▼−0.19%×0.03

Q3 FY25Nov 4 '25confirmed±5.9%▼−5.06%×0.86

Feb 4 '26Feb 4 '26confirmed±6.2%▼−5.15%×0.83

Q1 FY26May 6 '26confirmed±6.2%▲+8.53%×1.39

Q2 FY26Aug 5 '26confirmed±6.0%▼−5.29%×0.88

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±6.0%▼−5.29%×0.88

Q1 FY26±6.2%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 close

1.28OI · 8 expiries · Oct 30 closeP/C open interest · Nov 6 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

40,686+6%Nov 65d31,714+14%

54,087+3%Nov 1312d5.979,063+4%5.97

85,616+1%Nov 2019d0.84102,363+1%0.84

3,561+128%Nov 2726d0.864,127+205%0.86

817+10%Dec 433d1.17698+9%1.17

3 later expiries

126,838+45%Dec 1847d1.3097,425+3%1.30

153,9650%Jan 1575d0.84

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 65d40,686+6%31,714+14%1.28

Nov 1312d54,087+3%9,063+4%5.97

Nov 2019d85,616+1%102,363+1%0.84

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±6.8%

Funds 4

XLI±0.2%

FTC±0.0%

VTV±0.0%

SPY±0.0%

Customers 1

SHAK±2.5%×0.37

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 500dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

17.02%as filednet margin · revenue +7.48% QoQ · +12.17% YoY

Revenue

$14.2B+7.48% QoQ

Gross profit

$6.4B+7.25% QoQ

44.93% margin

Operating income

$1.9B−1.72% QoQ

13.32% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.3B+560.69% QoQ

Net income

$2.4B+756.74% QoQ

17.02% margin

Cost of revenue

$7.8B+7.67% QoQ

Operating expenses

$4.5B+11.54% QoQ

Marketing $1.5B

R&D $1.0B

SG&A $935M

Other operating $993M

Tax

$840M+332.99% QoQ

Other income

$1.4B+197.20% QoQ

Revenue$14.2B+7.48%

Gross profit

$6.4B+7.25%

44.93% margin

Operating income

$1.9B−1.72%

13.32% margin

Pre-tax income

$3.3B+560.69%

Net income

$2.4B+756.74%

17.02% margin

Cost of revenue

$7.8B+7.67%

Operating expenses

$4.5B+11.54%

Marketing $1.5B

R&D $1.0B

SG&A $935M

Other income$1.4B+197.20%

Tax$840M+332.99%

flow · deduction · inflow · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jun 30 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 19:45 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

NFP ×1.21· ±2.1% vs ±1.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

NFPjobs report±2.1%3 of 10×1.21

CPIconsumer prices±2.0%4 of 10×1.16

FOMCrate decision±2.0%12 of 24×1.15

CPROFcorporate profits±1.5%4 of 12×0.87

GDPgross domestic product±1.3%9 of 19×0.78

PPIproducer prices±1.3%6 of 10×0.77

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%10 of 19×0.75

Bar = avg |move| to ±3% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 1.17 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Aug 5 '26 · confirmed	1.17	—
Q1 FY26	May 6 '26 · confirmed	0.13	—
Q3 FY25	Nov 4 '25 · confirmed	3.11	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod