What move does the options market price into Stanley Black & Decker's report?

Implied ±3.7%, either direction.

How often does Stanley Black & Decker move more than the options market prices?

0 of the last 8 reports moved at least as far as the implied move.

SWKNYSECutlery, Handtools & General Hardware

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) earnings date, market-implied expected move, and options open interest by expiry

103.46

Closed16:00 ET

Open104.00Volume2.0MMkt cap$15.6BP/E25.11EPS4.12Div yield3.22%

Day102.08 – 104.3860%52-wk59.35 – 105.1796%

SWK

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc.

OpenVolumeMkt capP/EEPSDiv yield

Day – 52-wk –

Expected move

Inputs

±3.7%implied · report alone

8Q avg ±2.5%·×1.47·rich

99.66107.22

straddle ±7.3%

spot 103.44exp Nov 20ATM strike 105ATM straddle 8.85IV 44%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Next report

Nov 4

before open · in 4 days

confirmedQ3 FY26

Calendar

Next report

Last report

−1.21%

vs ±8.7% implied · ×0.14

shaded = implied · ▲▼ = realized

Jul 29 '26 · confirmed

Implied vs realized

Linked news

21dHD · customer/C O R R E C T I O N -- The Home Depot/
37dLOW · customerLowe's is launching a drone delivery service in partnership with DoorDash, Alphabet

News

Largest filed tie

13F top-10 QoQ

+3.79%

shares held · 10 largest managers

13F · Jun 30 '26123d lag

779 managers

Top fund weight

0.25%

SWK weight · XLI

N-PORTJun 30 '26

9 funds

Last reportshaded = implied▲▼ = realized× = |realized| ÷ implied

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) reports on Nov 4 before open (confirmed date).

Implied vs realized

8 reports

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.1%
avg realized: ±2.5%

Feb 5 '25Feb 5 '25confirmed±7.1%▼−1.20%×0.17

Apr 30 '25Apr 30 '25confirmed±9.0%▼−2.02%×0.22

Jun 30 '25Jun 30 '25confirmed±6.0%▲+0.15%×0.03

Jul 29 '25Jul 29 '25confirmed±9.5%▼−7.20%×0.76

Nov 4 '25Nov 4 '25confirmed±7.6%▲+0.41%×0.05

Feb 4 '26Feb 4 '26confirmed±7.1%▲+4.53%×0.63

Q1 FY26Apr 29 '26confirmed±9.6%▼−3.12%×0.33

Q2 FY26Jul 29 '26confirmed±8.7%▼−1.21%×0.14

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.7%▼−1.21%×0.14

Q1 FY26±9.6%

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Implied vs realized

Positioning

OI · 5 expiries · Oct 27 close

0.53OI · 5 expiries · Oct 27 closeP/C open interest · Nov 20 · first expiry after the report

PUTS · chgexpiry · days · P/CCALLS · chgP/C

1,4070%Nov 2020d2,678+4%

255+5%Dec 1848d0.94271+48%0.94

7,2860%Jan 1576d0.1356,4050%0.13

8650%Feb 19111d2.93295+2%2.93

395+8%Apr 16167d0.76520−1%0.76

ExpiryPutsCallsP/C

Nov 2020d1,4070%2,678+4%0.53

Dec 1848d255+5%271+48%0.94

Jan 1576d7,2860%56,4050%0.13

Hatched = puts · solid = calls · bars scaled per expiry · chg = OI vs prior sessionSource: options EOD

Positioning

Linked exposure

scenario · straddle±7.3%

Funds 4

XLI±0.0%

RSP±0.0%

REVS±0.0%

SPY±0.0%

Customers 3

SPB±3.7%×0.51

LOW±3.0%×0.41

HD±2.7%×0.38

Dashed = straddle · × = co-movement · max 499dMethod 2 more funds Source: SEC filings · N-PORT · market data

Linked exposure

Revenue flow

as filedQ2 FY26

8.87%as filednet margin · revenue +2.97% QoQ · +0.39% YoY

Revenue

$4.0B+2.97% QoQ

Gross profit

$1.3B+13.12% QoQ

32.87% margin

Operating income

$558M+247.42% QoQ

14.10% margin

Pre-tax income

$499M+488.44% QoQ

Net income

$351M+489.43% QoQ

8.87% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.7B−1.36% QoQ

Operating expenses

$744M−24.90% QoQ

SG&A $944M

Other operating $53M

Other expense

$59M

Tax

$148M+486.11% QoQ

Revenue$4.0B+2.97%

Gross profit

$1.3B+13.12%

32.87% margin

Operating income

$558M+247.42%

14.10% margin

Pre-tax income

$499M+488.44%

Net income

$351M+489.43%

8.87% margin

Cost of revenue

$2.7B−1.36%

Operating expenses

$744M−24.90%

SG&A $944M

Other operating $53M

Other expense

$59M

Tax$148M+486.11%

flow · deduction · signed % = QoQSource: SEC filings · standardized · QE Jul 4 '26 · width = $

Revenue flow

Intraday

15m bars

Long dash = implied range · Oct 30 close · Hatch = extended hours · ▯ up · ▮ down · bars = volume, 15mSource: market data · 16:00 ET

Intraday

Event sensitivity

PPI ×1.06· ±1.8% vs ±1.7% · 10 releases

eventrelease day|move|up · n×base

PPIproducer prices±1.8%3 of 10×1.06

FOMCrate decision±1.8%10 of 24×1.05

GDPgross domestic product±1.5%9 of 19×0.89

NFPjobs report±1.5%6 of 10×0.88

PCEpersonal income & outlays±1.3%10 of 19×0.79

CPROFcorporate profits±1.2%6 of 12×0.72

CPIconsumer prices±1.1%5 of 10×0.67

Bar = avg |move| to ±2% · tick = ±1.7% avg day · ×base = |move| ÷ ±1.7% · min 6 releases

Earnings history

EPS 2.33 · consensus —

Quarter	Reported	EPS	Consensus
Q2 FY26	Jul 29 '26 · confirmed	2.33	—
Q1 FY26	Apr 29 '26 · confirmed	0.39	—

Source: filed financials

Methodology

ties · implied moves · holdersMethod