SWK as of Nov 2 · 08:06 ET

SWKNYSECutlery, Handtools & General Hardware

Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. · Brief

Next report

2 days

Nov 4 · before openconfirmedQ3 FY26

Earnings

Expected move

Inputs

±3.7%implied · report alone

99.66107.22

straddle ±7.3%

spot 103.44exp Nov 20ATM strike 105ATM straddle 8.85IV 44%

Oct 30 closereport share · term structure

Expected move

Inputs

Implied vs realized

8 reportsHistory

0 of 8≥ implied

avg implied: ±8.1%
avg realized: ±2.5%

Feb 5 '25±7.1%▼−1.20%×0.17

Apr 30 '25±9.0%▼−2.02%×0.22

Jun 30 '25±6.0%▲+0.15%×0.03

Jul 29 '25±9.5%▼−7.20%×0.76

Nov 4 '25±7.6%▲+0.41%×0.05

Feb 4 '26±7.1%▲+4.53%×0.63

Q1 FY26±9.6%▼−3.12%×0.33

Q2 FY26±8.7%▼−1.21%×0.14

quarterimplied−10%0+10%realized×

Q2 FY26±8.7%▼−1.21%×0.14

Q1 FY26±9.6%▼−3.12%×0.33

Feb '26±7.1%▲+4.53%×0.63

Nov '25±7.6%▲+0.41%×0.05

Jul '25±9.5%▼−7.20%×0.76

Jun '25±6.0%▲+0.15%×0.03

2 older reports

Apr '25±9.0%▼−2.02%×0.22

Feb '25±7.1%▼−1.20%×0.17

Shaded = implied · tick ▲▼ = realized · × = |realized| ÷ impliedSource: options EOD · implied at prior close · realized close to close

Bull & bear

Nov 4 report · confirmed

Bull2 of 3

779managers reporting a position in the latest quarterly filings13F · Jun 30 '26

+3.79%change in shares held by the ten largest reporting managers over the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

Bear2

4 of 24of the largest reporting managers cut their stake in the latest quarter13F · Jun 30 '26

8 of 8recent reports where the move came in under the options-implied rangeEarnings history

AI captions · Sep 28 '26once per report · top 2 per case

Linked exposure

SWK report session

Customers 3

SPBSpectrum Brands Holdings×0.51 LOWLowe's×0.41 HDThe Home Depot×0.38

× = co-movement · max 499dSource: SEC filings · market data

Latest changes

30 daysAll changes

Oct 21impliedImplied move: ±7.9% into Nov 4 earnings (Oct 21 close).Source

Your note

privateThesis 0 · Decisions 0 · Observations 0

No thesis.